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Weekend Funtime: Wild Card (S48)
#76

07-12-2019, 10:36 AMMike Izzy Wrote: Are there any young players in these match ups that are ready to seize center stage?

Calgary has been a post season team in 23 of the last 25 seasons and part of that success is based around Calgary doing a great job in preparing their young player to perform well late in the season. From the team leaders guidance throughout the year to Coachs Steelhead and C00kies putting those players in a position to win. As an example ee saw it with Hunter Jones who as a rookie scored 2 overtime winners vs Edmonton in the 2nd round of the playoffs! I believe that Calgary boasts 2 rookies in Barry Batsbak and Bernik Vzrala who have the capitbility, seasoning and persona to impose their will on this series and make a name for themselves on the global stage.


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You are spot on about what made Calgary successful in recent decades, even before Esa took over they were already one of the best franchises in SHL history thanks to the roster building capabilities of the people in charge there over the years. They were always a team that could develop young players into superstars and then retain them or even add more pieces in FA and this quality of theirs has only gotten stronger in the Esa-era.
#77

07-12-2019, 06:25 AMMayuu Wrote:
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Is there a team in either series that match up well against Nola or Tampa bay if they could advance? .. if so how come?

Buffalo should dominate both Toronto and Tampa. Both team lacks the depth and has been riding on top line production, which is easier to shut down once you actually get to play the same team over and over again.
Mean while Buffalo's first line has been cold all season posting one of the worst sh% of all first lines in the league. If Buffalo fixes that they will cake walk these lower tier teams.
Play-offs is a different beast and i can't see either of those teams making it out of the their series. Barring Simon T fuckery.

Tampa had the best GF in the league. One can say we have the depth scoring advantage here.

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#78

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Who needs to step up for there team to win?

For the North Stars, they need Michael McFadden to play like he does in the regular season and not the post season. In his career he has won three playoff series. Simple as he has to play well if Toronto is going to make it out of the wildcard series.

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#79

07-12-2019, 11:04 AMJSS Wrote:
07-12-2019, 06:25 AMMayuu Wrote:
Code:
Is there a team in either series that match up well against Nola or Tampa bay if they could advance? .. if so how come?

Buffalo should dominate both Toronto and Tampa. Both team lacks the depth and has been riding on top line production, which is easier to shut down once you actually get to play the same team over and over again.
Mean while Buffalo's first line has been cold all season posting one of the worst sh% of all first lines in the league. If Buffalo fixes that they will cake walk these lower tier teams.
Play-offs is a different beast and i can't see either of those teams making it out of the their series. Barring Simon T fuckery.

Tampa had the best GF in the league. One can say we have the depth scoring advantage here.

You had the 4th highest PDO in league history since S25. That's essentially the 4th luckiest season in that timeframe. Once you regress to average luck and Buffalo actually gets more lucky the series should look way different compared to how things went in the regular season. Unless of course Blue stands on his head.

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3. Buffalo Stampede , Eduard Selich 5 (Maximilian Wachter, Alexis Metzler) at 16:25
5. Buffalo Stampede , Eduard Selich 6 (Steven Stamkos Jr., Brynjar Tusk) at 19:48
8. Buffalo Stampede , Eduard Selich 7 (Brynjar Tusk, Alexis Metzler) at 13:55
9. Buffalo Stampede , Eduard Selich 8 (Anton Fedorov, Mikelis Grundmanis) at 15:12
10. Buffalo Stampede , Eduard Selich 9 (Dickie Pecker) at 19:43 (Empty Net)
#80

07-12-2019, 11:09 AMTomen Wrote:
07-12-2019, 11:04 AMJSS Wrote: Tampa had the best GF in the league. One can say we have the depth scoring advantage here.

You had the 4th highest PDO in league history since S25. That's essentially the 4th luckiest season in that timeframe. Once you regress to average luck and Buffalo actually gets more lucky the series should look way different compared to how things went in the regular season. Unless of course Blue stands on his head.

This is exactly what I formed my opinion on. Tomen got those deep analytics. 
Still this is stsh and anything can happen



RETIRED

#81

07-12-2019, 11:09 AMTomen Wrote:
07-12-2019, 11:04 AMJSS Wrote: Tampa had the best GF in the league. One can say we have the depth scoring advantage here.

You had the 4th highest PDO in league history since S25. That's essentially the 4th luckiest season in that timeframe. Once you regress to average luck and Buffalo actually gets more lucky the series should look way different compared to how things went in the regular season. Unless of course Blue stands on his head.

Of course our PDO won't be that good considering our total TPE among all players but STHS doesn't reward stacked teams like Buffalo for some reason & Blue will always stand on his head Wink

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#82

Quote:Is there a team in either series that match up well against Nola or Tampa bay if they could advance? .. if so how come?

I think Tampa will have an easy time against the winner of the Eastern Wild Card. However, New Orleans are going to have their hands full with the winner of of the Calgary/Edmonton series. Both teams have very tough squads and it's not out of the question to see them upset New Orleans in a six or seven game series. I think Calgary has the better chance, playing a tighter game, but I wouldn't be too surprised to see New Orleans go home early.

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#83

07-12-2019, 11:16 AMJSS Wrote:
07-12-2019, 11:09 AMTomen Wrote: You had the 4th highest PDO in league history since S25. That's essentially the 4th luckiest season in that timeframe. Once you regress to average luck and Buffalo actually gets more lucky the series should look way different compared to how things went in the regular season. Unless of course Blue stands on his head.

Of course our PDO won't be that good considering our total TPE among all players but STHS doesn't reward stacked teams like Buffalo for some reason & Blue will always stand on his head  Wink

We see it all the time season after seasons how hot players fall short in playoffs, especially in lower TPE teams. The RNG seed seems to change between regular season and playoffs even if it's the same file.



RETIRED

#84

Is there an area which a team can exploit on their opponent?

In the Buffalo Toronto series, there are a few key areas.

Toronto seems to be fairly top-heavy. They lack in depth. This is exactly where the Buffalo Stampede excel. The stampede have 3 great lines of defense and scoring depth. This should prove to be the turning point/exploitation point of the series. It should be a methodical, grinding away type series that has the stampede winning at the end. That being said, Lets go North Stars!
#85

07-12-2019, 11:23 AMMayuu Wrote:
07-12-2019, 11:16 AMJSS Wrote: Of course our PDO won't be that good considering our total TPE among all players but STHS doesn't reward stacked teams like Buffalo for some reason & Blue will always stand on his head  Wink

We see it all the time season after seasons how hot players fall short in playoffs, especially in lower TPE teams. The RNG seed seems to change between regular season and playoffs even if it's the same file.

Tampa took Hamilton to 7 2 seasons back and you could argue that that Hamilton was much better and that that Tampa team was much worse. Let's see Tampa does this time around.

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#86

07-12-2019, 11:27 AMJSS Wrote:
07-12-2019, 11:23 AMMayuu Wrote: We see it all the time season after seasons how hot players fall short in playoffs, especially in lower TPE teams. The RNG seed seems to change between regular season and playoffs even if it's the same file.

Tampa took Hamilton to 7 2 seasons back and you could argue that that Hamilton was much better and that that Tampa team was much worse. Let's see Tampa does this time around.

Yeah, but Hamilton and Buffalo is two very different beats. Both now and then



RETIRED

#87

Code:
Is there a managerial advantage in either match up and why?

Honestly can we just feel bad for the managerial staff over at  Stars ? Honestly if you think the GMs over at toronto can even sniff the heels of  Stampede Tomen and WannaLeeFinn, then you are just as crazy as penknight. Nobody comes close to this duo and with Toronto being at the bottom of the barrel its like taking candy from a baby. Why even try?

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#88

There is something that I think the Edmonton blizzard can exploit in their matchup with the Calgary Dragons. The secret for the blizzard is going to be that they've been knocked out by Calgary several times. Those losses were actually tricks to setup the game plan for this series.

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#89

Is there a team in either series that match up well against Nola or Tampa bay if they could advance? .. if so how come?


One would have to imagine that Buffalo's experience would give them a leg up on Tampa, were they to advance. Buffalo is just one season removed from hoisting the Challenge Cup and retains a majority of that core on this season's team, whereas Tampa has been mired in less-then-stellar play for a few season prior to this breakout campaign. 

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#90

Code:
Is there a goalie advantage in either match up and why?

While there isn't any obvious goalie advantage in the Buffalo/Toronto series, there does seem to be one out west. Tommy Tuck (EDM) didn't have himself as good of a season as he would have liked. With a save percentage of .895 and a GAA of 3.06, Tuck was last of all eligible goaltenders (goalies with more than 25 games played) and his GAA is third worst in the league, and worst of any goalie in the playoffs. While Kata Vilde didn't have an outstanding season, his save percentage is middle of the pack at .907. While Vilde's GAA is a little on the high side at 2.95, if Calgary can find a way to keep Edmonton's shot total down, Vilde should give them the upper hand in net.

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