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(This post was last modified: 07-27-2019, 05:34 PM by awils13.)

FULL STATS HERE (skaters)

Goalies

New stat this season: Off.ZS%, you can read more about it here https://www.litterboxcats.com/2012/8/27/...rs-florida
Mind you it's probably completely random in STHS.

You can find what each stat means in the S47 article (skaters) and goalies

First off, a little analysis on each team

1.  Barracuda Tampa Bay Barracuda (66 points)
Record: 28-12-10
Corsi: 48.42 (league rank – 13th)
PDO: 1037 (1st)
PP + PK: 94.66 (14th)

I feel like whenever a goalie posts a sv% significantly above average, you can safely assume the team is overperforming. In S46 Blue carried Tampa to the playoffs with league-leading .919, then in S47 Blue regressed to the average and Tampa finished dead last. This season Tampa led the league in both 5v5sh% and 5v5sv%, resulting in an abnormally high PDO (higher than any team last season). S48 was a step in the right direction but based on numbers Tampa isn’t ready to contend just yet.

Verdict: Bad + Lucky

This isn’t supposed to take anything away from the incredible season this team had, and Lagerfield and Blue have very strong cases to win some individual awards.

2.  Specters New Orleans Specters (65 points)
Record: 30-15-5
Corsi: 54.69 (1st)
PDO: 994 (11th)
PP + PK: 106.60 (3rd)

Not quite as dominant as last season but still great possession numbers, and good special teams. Once again more on the unlucky side but 6 points under 1000 is probably within normal variation.

Verdict: Good

3.  Platoon West Kendall Platoon (63 points)
Record: 30-17-3
Corsi: 52.23 (3rd)
PDO: 1012 (4th)
PP + PK: 97.53 (11th)

Good at 5 on 5, a bit more lucky than you’d expect but still this is easily a 60+ points team.
Terrible on PK but WKP was one of the least penalized teams, so they only allowed 33 PKG which is middle of the pack.
They also scored 40 PPG (most in the league), so overall Platoon did pretty well on special teams and the PP + PK ranking is deceiving.

Verdict: Good + Lucky

4.  Jets Winnipeg Jets (60 points)
Record: 29-19-2
Corsi: 49.29 (11th)
PDO: 1014 (2nd)
PP + PK: 99.39 (8th)

Last season Winnipeg was a terrible team that was pretty close to making the playoffs thanks to some puck luck.
This season once again they had some lucky sims, except this time it’s more like an average team, so Winnipeg finished with 60 points and won their division fairly easily.

Verdict: Average + Lucky (this didn't age well)

5.  pride San Francisco Pride (59 points)
Record: 28-19-3
Corsi: 50.94 (6th)
PDO: 1001 (7th)
PP + PK: 109.91 (1st)

Above average team 5 on 5. High 5v5sh%, low 5v5sv% so overall Pride were neither lucky or unlucky.
Special teams is where SFP really shined. They scored 36 PPG and allowed only 17 PKGA, for a difference of +19.

Verdict: Above average + Great special teams

6.  Steelhawks Hamilton Steelhawks (59 points)
Record: 27-18-5
Corsi: 51.00 (5th)
PDO: 996 (10th)
PP + PK: 109.73 (2nd)

Not elite but good corsi. League worst shooting % but Kryyst had a good season in net, so the PDO is pretty average. Same as SFP, neither lucky or unlucky.
Incredible PP% but only 127 PP opportunities (3rd least in the league, for comparison Edmonton went 31 for 172 on PP).
Top 3 in both PK% and PKGA.

59-60 points is right what you'd expect with these numbers

Verdict: Above average + Great special teams

7.  Stars Toronto North Stars (58 points)
Record: 25-17-8
Corsi: 48.63 (12th)
PDO: 1013 (3rd)
PP + PK: 92.18 (15th)

I think Toronto definitely overperformed. Bad and lucky 5 on 5. One of the worst special teams in the league, although worth noting that Toronto was the least penalized team, so they finished with +1 goal differential on special teams, and -1 overall.

Verdict: Bad + Lucky + Bad special teams + Disciplined

8.  Stampede Buffalo Stampede (58 points)
Record: 27-19-4
Corsi: 53.00 (2nd)
PDO: 998 (8th)
PP + PK: 91.02 (16th)

Buffalo got outscored by 14 goals on special teams which is the main reason they almost missed the playoffs. But for the third season in a row NOLA, WKP and BUF are the Big 3 of SHL, with all teams making the conference finals this time and with Buffalo eventually winning it all.

Verdict: Good + Bad special teams

9.  Blizzard Edmonton Blizzard (55 points)
Record: 25-20-5
Corsi: 49.44 (10th)
PDO: 986 (15th)
PP + PK: 94.78 (13th)

Last season Edmonton had the highest PDO, this time Simon wasn’t so kind. Basically the same corsi (below average) but the sh% declined from 11.28 to 9.37, sv% declined from 0.914 to 0.892 and special teams declined from 107.76 to 94.78. As I’ve mentioned Edmonton had the most PP opportunities among all teams, and perhaps that’s the reason they made the playoffs despite a -15 goal differential.

Verdict: Below average + Unlucky + Bad special teams

10.  Dragons Calgary Dragons (55 points)
Record: 24-19-7
Corsi: 51.58 (4th)
PDO: 1005 (5th)
PP + PK: 96.69 (12th)

I’m a bit surprised Calgary didn’t finish higher in the standings. Yes, the PP was pretty mediocre and the PK was terrible but Dragons were good 5 on 5 their PDO is on the higher end too.

Verdict: Good + Bad special teams

11.  Wolfpack New England Wolfpack (54 points)
Record: 26-22-2
Corsi: 50.64 (7th)
PDO: 1001 (6th)
PP + PK: 99.34 (9th)

Now we’ve reached non-playoff teams. NEW almost made it.
The reason they didn’t? 126 PP opportunities (2nd fewest) and 172 PK opportunities (2nd most), resulting in a -11 goal differential on special teams.

Verdict: Above average + Bad PPA – PKA difference

12.  Renegades Texas Renegades (51 points)
Record: 23-22-5
Corsi: 49.52 (11th)
PDO: 996 (9th)
PP + PK: 104.41 (4th)

Slightly below average at even-strength and the 996 PDO didn’t help, although I can’t say they were unlucky.
Good special teams but Texas had difficulties staying out of the penalty box, which is likely the reason they missed the playoffs.

Verdict: Below average + Undisciplined

13.  syndicate Chicago Syndicate (47 points)
Record: 21-24-5
Corsi: 46.86 (15th)
PDO: 990 (14th)
PP + PK: 103.42 (5th)

Syndicate were very bad 5 on 5 this season but they were also pretty unlucky.

Verdict: Bad + Unlucky + Good special teams

14.  Chiefs Minnesota Chiefs (46 points)
Record: 20-24-6
Corsi: 47.45 (14th)
PDO: 991 (13th)
PP + PK: 100.32 (7th)

Pretty much the same as Chicago, with slightly worse special teams.

Verdict: Bad + Unlucky

15.  Panthers Los Angeles Panthers (41 points)
Record: 20-29-1
Corsi: 46.84 (16th)
PDO: 992 (12th)
PP + PK: 100.65 (6th)

Not surprising that the second last team finished with bad possession numbers but what stood out to me is LA went on the PP only 122 times (fewest in the league) and had to kill off 163 penalties (4th most).

Verdict: Bad + Unlucky + Bad PPA – PKA differential

16.  Rage Manhattan Rage (39 points)
Record: 17-28-5
Corsi: 49.44 (9th)
PDO: 971 (16th)
PP + PK: 97.65 (10th)

The reverse Tampa. Below average 5 on 5, mediocre special teams but Manhattan definitely was much better than the last place.

Verdict: Below average + Unlucky

Team stats

*Green - made the playoffs

PDO
Barracuda Tampa Bay Barracuda - 1037
Jets Winnipeg Jets - 1014
Stars Toronto North Stars - 1013
Platoon West Kendall Platoon - 1012
Dragons Calgary Dragons - 1005
Wolfpack New England Wolfpack - 1001
pride San Francisco Pride - 1001
----------------------------------------------------
Stampede Buffalo Stampede - 998
Renegades Texas Renegades - 996
10 Steelhawks Hamilton Steelhawks - 996
11 Specters New Orleans Specters - 994
12 Panthers Los Angeles Panthers - 992
13 Chiefs Minnesota Chiefs - 991
14 syndicate Chicago Syndicate - 990
15 Blizzard Edmonton Blizzard - 986
16 Rage Manhattan Rage - 971

CF%
Specters New Orleans Specters - 54.69
Stampede Buffalo Stampede - 53
Platoon West Kendall Platoon - 52.23
Dragons Calgary Dragons - 51.58
Steelhawks Hamilton Steelhawks - 51
pride San Francisco Pride - 50.94
Wolfpack New England Wolfpack - 50.64
----------------------------------------------------
Renegades Texas Renegades - 49.52
Rage Manhattan Rage - 49.44
10 Blizzard Edmonton Blizzard - 49.44
11 Jets Winnipeg Jets - 49.29
12 Stars Toronto North Stars - 48.63
13 Barracuda Tampa Bay Barracuda - 48.42
14 Chiefs Minnesota Chiefs - 47.45
15 syndicate Chicago Syndicate - 46.86
16 Panthers Los Angeles Panthers - 46.84

5v5sh%
1 Barracuda Tampa Bay Barracuda - 11.7
2 pride San Francisco Pride - 10.42
3 Stars Toronto North Stars - 10.36
4 Jets Winnipeg Jets - 10.12
5 Platoon West Kendall Platoon - 9.59
6 Blizzard Edmonton Blizzard - 9.37
7 Renegades Texas Renegades - 9.35
8 Dragons Calgary Dragons - 9.16
9 Wolfpack New England Wolfpack - 9.14
10 Stampede Buffalo Stampede - 9.11
11 Panthers Los Angeles Panthers - 8.99
12 Specters New Orleans Specters - 8.83
13 syndicate Chicago Syndicate - 8.81
14 Rage Manhattan Rage - 8.66
15 Chiefs Minnesota Chiefs - 8.62
16 Steelhawks Hamilton Steelhawks - 8.57

5v5sv%
1 Barracuda Tampa Bay Barracuda - 0.92
2 Platoon West Kendall Platoon - 0.916
3 Dragons Calgary Dragons - 0.913
4 Jets Winnipeg Jets - 0.913
5 Steelhawks Hamilton Steelhawks - 0.911
6 Wolfpack New England Wolfpack - 0.91
7 Stars Toronto North Stars - 0.91
8 Stampede Buffalo Stampede - 0.906
9 Specters New Orleans Specters - 0.906
10 Chiefs Minnesota Chiefs - 0.905
11 Renegades Texas Renegades - 0.903
12 syndicate Chicago Syndicate - 0.902
13 Panthers Los Angeles Panthers - 0.902
14 pride San Francisco Pride - 0.897
15 Blizzard Edmonton Blizzard - 0.892
16 Rage Manhattan Rage - 0.884

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Skater leaderboards

CF% (min. 800 shot attempts)
1) Specters 60.43 Nicholas Williams - LW
2) Specters 59.57 Oisin Fletcher - LW
3) Specters 59.54 Joe Kurczewski - LW
4) Specters 56.72 Sean Stevenson Jr - D
5) Stampede 56.59 Oliver Konig - C
6) Specters 56.09 Richard Physt - D
7) Stampede 56.03 Hippo Passamus - C
8) Stampede 55.64 Viktor Marius - LW
9) Stampede 55.54 Louie Garrett - RW
10) Specters 55.4 Piotr Czerkawski - RW

RelCF (min. 800 shot attempts)
1) Stars 9.05 Dionyz Vyskoc - RW
2) Specters 8.59 Nicholas Williams - LW
3) Jets 8.45 Jason Visser - C
4) Jets 8.33 Lil Manius - RW
5) Jets 8.18 Crossfit Jesus - RW
6) Specters 7.39 Oisin Fletcher - LW
7) Specters 7.34 Joe Kurczewski - LW
8) Renegades 7.07 Noah Konn - RW
9) Barracuda 6.97 Alex Andani - C
10) Stampede 6.73 Louie Garrett - RW

IPPEV (min. 20 points)
1) Barracuda 88.5% Flacko Lagerfield - LW
2) Panthers 86.8% Max Mauldin - C
3) syndicate 83.8% Cameron Carter II - LW
4) Chiefs 83.3% Mika Mayfield - LW
5) Specters 83% Joe Kurczewski - LW
6) Dragons 82.4% Nicky Pedersen Jr - LW
7) Chiefs 82.1% Kire Yelkrab - RW
8) Renegades 82.1% Daniel Karlsson - RW
9) Steelhawks 80.4% Angelo Odjick - LW
10) syndicate 80% Kit Smeb - LW

Primary assists
1) syndicate 26 Fredrich Koenig - D
2) Barracuda 26 Flacko Lagerfield - LW
3) Wolfpack 24 Anders Christiansen - C
4) Barracuda 23 Kristaps Ball - D
5) Dragons 22 Otis B.Driftwood - D
6) Blizzard 22 Tor Tuck - D
7) Specters 22 Joe Kurczewski - LW
8) Stars 21 Mikhail Lokitonov - RW
9) Wolfpack 21 Tigole Bitties - D
10) Jets 20 Jason Visser - C

Secondary assists
1) Barracuda 21 Kristaps Ball - D
2) Wolfpack 19 Tigole Bitties - D
3) Renegades 18 Harvey Danger - D
4) Barracuda 18 Maui - D
5) pride 17 Charlie Schieck - D
6) Specters 17 Richard Physt - D
7) Platoon 17 Chuck Crutchfield - D
8) Wolfpack 16 Anders Christiansen - C
9) Dragons 16 Shooter McGavin - LW
10) Platoon 16 Gabriel Wong - RW

PDO (min. 250 shots on goal for + against)
1) Barracuda 1071 Nickolas Klaus - C
2) Barracuda 1069 Kolja Seppanen - RW
3) Barracuda 1066 Cash Savage - LW
4) Barracuda 1065 Maui - D
5) Barracuda 1057 Kristaps Ball - D
6) Barracuda 1050 Alex Andani - C
7) Stars 1044 Chris York - RW
8) Stars 1043 Mikhail Lokitonov - RW
9) Panthers 1042 Willie Fisterbottom - D
10) Renegades 1041 Harvey Danger - D

Steals (defensemen)
1) Barracuda 995 Maui - D
2) Wolfpack 989 Tigole Bitties - D
3) Chiefs 969 Geoff Moore - D
4) Chiefs 960 Ti-Guy Emond - D
5) Rage 952 Poopity Scoop - D
6) Platoon 937 Ludwig Koch Schroder - D
7) Barracuda 937 Kristaps Ball - D
8) Rage 934 Reginald MacIntyre - D
9) Dragons 928 Otis B.Driftwood - D
10) syndicate 921 Fredrich Koenig - D

Steals (forwards)
1) Steelhawks 565 Robert Phelps - C
2) Dragons 488 Mike Izzy - C
3) Wolfpack 449 Rafe Ulrich - LW
4) Rage 434 Luke Thomason - LW
5) Wolfpack 429 Anders Christiansen - C
6) Stampede 423 Kevin Hamilton - LW
7) Wolfpack 422 Manuel Gotze - RW
8) Stampede 418 Viktor Marius - LW
9) Blizzard 416 Teddy Cuddles - RW
10) Specters 408 Joe Kurczewski - LW

Turnovers (defensemen)
1) Wolfpack 956 Tigole Bitties - D
2) Panthers 900 Jon Toner - D
3) Barracuda 895 Kristaps Ball - D
4) Dragons 878 Otis B.Driftwood - D
5) Barracuda 874 Maui - D
6) Chiefs 857 Geoff Moore - D
7) Stars 851 Bob Bergen - D
8) pride 838 Isak Odegard - D
9) Stars 825 Jordan Von Matt - D
10) Panthers 807 Maurice Picard - D

Turnovers (forwards)
1) Steelhawks 632 Robert Phelps - C
2) Barracuda 589 Flacko Lagerfield - LW
3) Chiefs 581 Terrance Nova - RW
4) Specters 566 Joe Kurczewski - LW
5) syndicate 561 Luke Atmey - LW
6) Blizzard 561 Teddy Cuddles - RW
7) Chiefs 549 Bobby Watson - RW
8) Platoon 547 Dani Forsberg - LW
9) Blizzard 545 Cory Knouse - LW
10) syndicate 533 Cameron Carter II - LW

STL/TO (defensemen, min. 800 steals + turnovers)
1) Panthers 1.619 Oliver Cleary - D
2) Renegades 1.457 Samuel Jalopski - D
3) Jets 1.441 Dylan Karlsson - D
4) Stars 1.424 Donny McMasters - D
5) syndicate 1.423 Helmuts Akmenlauks - D
6) Jets 1.407 Max Weber - D
7) syndicate 1.412 Buck Maverick - D
8) Steelhawks 1.378 Anastasia O'Koivu - D
9) Panthers 1.372 Jimmy Cahill - D
10) Dragons 1.357 Ostap Maksimov - D

STL/TO (forwards, min. 700 steals + turnovers)
1) Steelhawks 0.981 Sulak O'Hritea - RW
2) Rage 0.975 Luke Thomason - LW
3) Dragons 0.949 Mike Izzy - C
4) Stampede 0.939 Viktor Marius - LW
5) Panthers 0.921 Borromini Cannellini - C
6) Jets 0.915 Lil Manius - RW
7) Steelhawks 0.894 Robert Phelps - C
8) Stampede 0.889 Kevin Hamilton - LW
9) Chiefs 0.889 Eric Pelletier - C
10) pride 0.885 Jeff Brogen - LW
10) Renegades 0.865 Noah Konn - RW

P60 (forwards, min. 30 points)
1) Barracuda 3.39 Flacko Lagerfield - LW
2) Jets 3.00 Lil Manius - RW
3) Wolfpack 2.96 Anders Christiansen - C
4) Barracuda 2.91 Nickolas Klaus - C
5) Stars 2.89 Mikhail Lokitonov - RW
6) Barracuda 2.81 Alex Andani - C
7) Specters 2.79 Joe Kurczewski - LW
8) Stampede 2.76 Louie Garrett - RW
9) Jets 2.75 Jason Visser - C
10) Platoon 2.68 Trevor Wilson - LW

P60 (defensemen, min. 18 points)
1) Barracuda 2.66 Kristaps Ball - D
2) Stars 2.10 Zander Rhys - D
3) syndicate 2.03 Fredrich Koenig - D
4) Platoon 2.00 Chuck Crutchfield - D
5) Specters 1.98 Richard Physt - D
6) Barracuda 1.90 Maui - D
7) Dragons 1.87 Otis B.Driftwood - D
8) pride 1.87 Isak Odegard - D
9) Wolfpack 1.86 Tigole Bitties - D
10) Platoon 1.86 Karsten Kadinger - D

----------------------------------------------------------

Goalie stats

Averages:
SV% = 0.905
EVSV% = 0.907
PKSV% = 0.896
PPSV% = 0.909

Quality starts (QS)
1) Barracuda 28 Benjamin Blue
2) Stars 26 Michael McFadden
3) Chiefs 26 Sebastien Primeau
4) Platoon 26 Beaujeaux Biscuit
5) Steelhawks 25 Geezus Kryyst
6) Wolfpack 24 Johannes Leitner
7) Renegades 24 Walter Hobbs
8) Specters 24 Aleister Cain
9) Stampede 23 Cedric Robinson
10) Jets 22 Cedric Moreau
11) pride 22 Chris Partridge
12) Dragons 20 Kata Vilde
13) syndicate 18 Jay Bae
14) Rage 15 Scottey Crawfling
15) Panthers 15 Evgueni Marmeladov
16) Blizzard 15 Tommy Tuck

QS% (min 20 total starts)
1) Barracuda 63.64 Benjamin Blue
2) Jets 62.86 Cedric Moreau
3) Steelhawks 59.52 Geezus Kryyst
4) Stars 59.09 Michael McFadden
5) Chiefs 59.09 Sebastien Primeau
6) Platoon 59.09 Beaujeaux Biscuit
7) Renegades 55.81 Walter Hobbs
8) Panthers 55.56 Evgueni Marmeladov
9) Wolfpack 54.55 Johannes Leitner
10) Specters 54.55 Aleister Cain
11) Stampede 52.27 Cedric Robinson
12) pride 51.16 Chris Partridge
13) Dragons 45.45 Kata Vilde
14) syndicate 40.91 Jay Bae
15) Panthers 39.13 Eddy Ask Jr
16) Rage 34.09 Scottey Crawfling
17) Blizzard 34.09 Tommy Tuck

Really bad starts (RBS)
1) Rage 17 Scottey Crawfling
2) Stars 9 Michael McFadden
3) Wolfpack 8 Johannes Leitner
4) Chiefs 8 Sebastien Primeau
5) Renegades 7 Walter Hobbs
6) pride 7 Chris Partridge
7) Blizzard 6 Tommy Tuck
8) Stampede 6 Cedric Robinson
9) Platoon 6 Beaujeaux Biscuit
10) Jets 5 Cedric Moreau
11) Dragons 5 Kata Vilde

RBS% (min 20 total starts)
1) Panthers 3.7 Evgueni Marmeladov
2) Barracuda 4.55 Benjamin Blue
3) syndicate 6.82 Jay Bae
4) Specters 9.09 Aleister Cain
5) Steelhawks 9.52 Geezus Kryyst
6) Dragons 11.36 Kata Vilde
7) Platoon 13.64 Beaujeaux Biscuit
8) Stampede 13.64 Cedric Robinson
9) Blizzard 13.64 Tommy Tuck
10) Jets 14.29 Cedric Moreau
11) pride 16.28 Chris Partridge
12) Renegades 16.28 Walter Hobbs
13) Panthers 17.39 Eddy Ask Jr
14) Chiefs 18.18 Sebastien Primeau
15) Wolfpack 18.18 Johannes Leitner
16) Stars 20.45 Michael McFadden
17) Rage 38.64 Scottey Crawfling

Goals saved above average (GSAA, min 20 starts)
1) Barracuda 21.24 Benjamin Blue
2) Steelhawks 16.25 Geezus Kryyst
3) Jets 14.52 Cedric Moreau
4) Platoon 9.89 Beaujeaux Biscuit
5) Specters 6.73 Aleister Cain
6) Panthers 4.77 Evgueni Marmeladov
7) Chiefs 3.69 Sebastien Primeau
8) Stars 2.67 Michael McFadden
9) Stampede 2.66 Cedric Robinson
10) Dragons 2.38 Kata Vilde
11) Wolfpack 0.14 Johannes Leitner
12) Renegades -0.77 Walter Hobbs
13) pride -4.32 Chris Partridge
14) Panthers -6.07 Eddy Ask Jr
15) syndicate -9.18 Jay Bae
16) Blizzard -12.55 Tommy Tuck
17) Rage -20.05 Scottey Crawfling

Adjusted GAA (min 20 starts)
1) Jets 2.61 Cedric Moreau
2) Barracuda 2.62 Benjamin Blue
3) Steelhawks 2.65 Geezus Kryyst
4) Platoon 2.84 Beaujeaux Biscuit
5) Panthers 2.85 Evgueni Marmeladov
6) Specters 2.91 Aleister Cain
7) Chiefs 2.94 Sebastien Primeau
8) Dragons 2.95 Kata Vilde
9) Stampede 2.96 Cedric Robinson
10) Stars 3 Michael McFadden
11) Wolfpack 3.02 Johannes Leitner
12) Renegades 3.08 Walter Hobbs
13) pride 3.12 Chris Partridge
14) syndicate 3.21 Jay Bae
15) Panthers 3.30 Eddy Ask Jr
16) Blizzard 3.33 Tommy Tuck
17) Rage 3.55 Scottey Crawfling

EVSV% (min 400 save attempts)
1) Barracuda 0.926 Benjamin Blue
2) Platoon 0.922 Beaujeaux Biscuit
3) Jets 0.920 Cedric Moreau
4) Dragons 0.917 Kata Vilde
5) Steelhawks 0.916 Geezus Kryyst
6) Stars 0.913 Michael McFadden
7) Panthers 0.910 Evgueni Marmeladov
8) Stampede 0.910 Cedric Robinson
9) Chiefs 0.909 Sebastien Primeau
10) Wolfpack 0.908 Johannes Leitner
11) Specters 0.907 Aleister Cain
12) Renegades 0.902 Walter Hobbs
13) syndicate 0.900 Jay Bae
14) Blizzard 0.897 Tommy Tuck
15) pride 0.896 Chris Partridge
16) Panthers 0.894 Eddy Ask Jr
17) Rage 0.888 Scottey Crawfling

PKSV% (min 100 save attempts)
1) pride 0.932 Chris Partridge
2) Steelhawks 0.926 Geezus Kryyst
3) Specters 0.924 Aleister Cain
4) Panthers 0.910 Evgueni Marmeladov
5) Jets 0.908 Cedric Moreau
6) Panthers 0.907 Eddy Ask Jr
7) Renegades 0.906 Walter Hobbs
8) Wolfpack 0.898 Johannes Leitner
9) Chiefs 0.897 Sebastien Primeau
10) Rage 0.895 Scottey Crawfling
11) Stampede 0.893 Cedric Robinson
12) syndicate 0.890 Jay Bae
13) Blizzard 0.890 Tommy Tuck
14) Barracuda 0.884 Benjamin Blue
15) Stars 0.879 Michael McFadden
16) Platoon 0.871 Beaujeaux Biscuit
17) Dragons 0.870 Kata Vilde

Player info | Updates | Stats
SteelhawksCanadaWhalers

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Reply
#2

Nice Work as always
Reply
#3

I think its a stretch to call 1012 PDO lucky (If that's what you are referring to with WKP). One standard deviation of PDO this season is just over 15 (considering this a random sample, which isn't necessarily appropriate but near enough). That means that in almost a third of results would have a PDO of 1012 or higher (that's not particularly lucky, just slightly luckier than average. (This is all approximating PDO to a normal which again I shouldn't be doing because the sample size is small, but I cba to look up last seasons results soooo you're just gonna have to deal with it...) The point is, Tampa's PDO is lucky (99.16 percentile lucky), but WKPs is just slightly above average...

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#4

amazing work

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06-11-2021, 05:33 PMKenitohMenara Wrote: [Image: BLUE.jpeg]
Welcome to the hall, Ben!

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#5

@aaronwilson Does analytics have any explanation for Gagnier and Owens of the Barracuda other than "Shit be wack, yo."

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#6

The best penalty killer is the goalie Specters

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UsaScarecrowsBlizzardSpecters | [Image: specterspp.png][Image: spectersupdate.png] | TimberArmadaSpectersFinland

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Reply
#7

07-26-2019, 05:48 PMFordyford Wrote: I think its a stretch to call 1012 PDO lucky (If that's what you are referring to with WKP). One standard deviation of PDO this season is just over 15 (considering this a random sample, which isn't necessarily appropriate but near enough). That means that in almost a third of results would have a PDO of 1012 or higher (that's not particularly lucky, just slightly luckier than average. (This is all approximating PDO to a normal which again I shouldn't be doing because the sample size is small, but I cba to look up last seasons results soooo you're just gonna have to deal with it...) The point is, Tampa's PDO is lucky (99.16 percentile lucky), but WKPs is just slightly above average...

The standard deviation is not gonna be high because almost every team finishes in the 990..1100 range, true.
But based on my experience with STHS I expect every team to have a PDO between 995 and 1005, and I consider values outside that range lucky/unlucky and unsustainable. The same works in NHL too.
I think Tampa was abnormally lucky this season, WKP was luckier than expected but still lucky.

07-26-2019, 07:15 PMStadiumGambler Wrote: @aaronwilson Does analytics have any explanation for Gagnier and Owens of the Barracuda other than "Shit be wack, yo."

Neither contributed offensively and both were pretty bad at suppressing shot attempts. But Barracuda's goalies had a very high SV% when they were on the ice (.937 and .930 respectively), hence the good +/-. Maybe they were good at limiting high-danger shots but there is no shot location data in STHS unfortunately, and I think that's highly unlikely anyway.
So carried by @"BoucherFan12", pretty much.

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07-27-2019, 06:04 PMaaronwilson Wrote:
07-26-2019, 05:48 PMFordyford Wrote: I think its a stretch to call 1012 PDO lucky (If that's what you are referring to with WKP). One standard deviation of PDO this season is just over 15 (considering this a random sample, which isn't necessarily appropriate but near enough). That means that in almost a third of results would have a PDO of 1012 or higher (that's not particularly lucky, just slightly luckier than average. (This is all approximating PDO to a normal which again I shouldn't be doing because the sample size is small, but I cba to look up last seasons results soooo you're just gonna have to deal with it...) The point is, Tampa's PDO is lucky (99.16 percentile lucky), but WKPs is just slightly above average...

The standard deviation is not gonna be high because almost every team finishes in the 990..1100 range, true.
But based on my experience with STHS I expect every team to have a PDO between 995 and 1005, and I consider values outside that range lucky/unlucky and unsustainable. The same works in NHL too.
I think Tampa was abnormally lucky this season, WKP was luckier than expected but still lucky.

07-26-2019, 07:15 PMStadiumGambler Wrote: @aaronwilson Does analytics have any explanation for Gagnier and Owens of the Barracuda other than "Shit be wack, yo."

Neither contributed offensively and both were pretty bad at suppressing shot attempts. But Barracuda's goalies had a very high SV% when they were on the ice (.937 and .930 respectively), hence the good +/-. Maybe they were good at limiting high-danger shots but there is no shot location data in STHS unfortunately, and I think that's highly unlikely anyway.
So carried by @"BoucherFan12", pretty much.

Tampa was very lucky (as I said, absurdly lucky). Im just saying WKP's number, while not necessarily consistently sustainable was hardly a shock (They had a much better PDO last season, for example, which was). 1012 is.... good, but not unusual. In fact, since S25 as far as I can see there hasnt been a single season without at least one team above 1012, and in most seasons its between 2-5. It's definitely not an unreasonably high value.

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