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S49 Casino Recap - Week 2: Halfway Point
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Inf1d3lIIHF Federation Head Old Man
Heading into the second week of the SHL season, it’s pretty clear to me that for many teams so far, their situations have changes, sometimes majorly, based on their season outlook. The betting lines are still closer than one may think, while others seem like their over or under may be close to being set in stone. However, let us look into the lines yet again in our second week of the Casino Recap Report, which turns out to be about halfway through our seasons so far!
Buffalo Stampede Over/Under 28.5 games Current Record: 15-9-0 On Pace For: 31-19-0 Over Bets: 3 Under Bets: 5 Buffalo has stayed in the hunt, but since the last update, has shown that they are, in fact, mortal after all. A few big losses and close wins have shown that the team is on a knife’s edge in terms of their record. The 28.5 over mark seems a lot closer than it did before, and though their schedule looks good, having a 2-2 record against a heavily rebuilding Toronto squad doesn’t bode well for long term health. Calgary Dragons Over/Under 24.5 games Current Record: 18-6-1 On Pace For: 36-12-2 Over Bets: 12 Under Bets: 0 The Dragons are on a roll here, there is no doubt. The chaos in the West is something they are taking complete advantage of. The most goals for and least goals against in the Western conference, the Dragons look poised to easily break the 24.5 Over here. Betters will get a nice shiny payout on this one unless their plane goes down in a fiery ball very soon! Chicago Syndicate Over/Under 21.5 games Current Record: 12-12-1 On Pace For: 24-24-2 Over Bets: 18 Under Bets: 0 Staying in that middle of the road area, Chicago dropped 1 projected win since last week. This isn’t unexpected and though they look poised to break the Over here, they still have 10 games between teams like Manhattan, New England, and Calgary to contend with. I still think this could come down to the final sim. Edmonton Blizzard Over/Under 27.5 games Current Record: 11-13-1 On Pace For: 22-26-2 Over Bets: 0 Under Bets: 2 The Blizzard seem to be struggling so far, halfway through they look like a team more likely to see a draft ball lottery ball than a playoff spot. Goaltending is failing them here, and though they could pull a comeback of sorts, it’s hard to see them breaking 27.5 wins without an amazing latter half push. Hamilton Steelhawks Over/Under 24.5 games Current Record: 10-13-2 On Pace For: 20-26-4 Over Bets: 0 Under Bets: 13 Hamilton lost ground in their race by a single game, and it’s not hard to see why. A strong Eastern conference is going to be hard to break out of, and without taking some wins against the West teams they have to play, I don’t see them making 25 wins. It’s not impossible here, but unlikely. Los Angeles Panthers Over/Under 20.5 games Current Record: 9-10-5 On Pace For: 19-21-10 Over Bets: 18 Under Bets: 0 The Panthers are keeping this line super close so far, and 18 betters are likely shaking a bit seeing this. They need a few statement wins in the West to break over the 20.5 mark, and so far, they haven’t really gotten them. They have yet to play against conference leading Calgary and this leads me to believe they won’t hit this mark. Manhattan Rage Over/Under 26.5 games Current Record: 15-8-2 On Pace For: 30-16-4 Over Bets: 2 Under Bets: 10 A recent surge in Manhattan shots on goal and scoring has picked the pace up for them, both in the standings and the Casino race. They look poised to stay above the 26.5 mark here even in a strong Eastern conference, where they are gaining ground, albeit slowly, and likely a playoff contender, their only weak point so far is against the Wolfpack, who they have 4 more games against this season. Minnesota Chiefs Over/Under 22.5 games Current Record: 13-11-1 On Pace For: 26-22-2 Over Bets: 3 Under Bets: 5 The Chiefs projected win total has dropped dramatically and one might wonder if their early season surge was a lucky fluke all in all? The 22.5 game mark here is too early to call, but if the recent trend of games is any indication, this might be closer than you think. Definitely one of the better betting lines to watch. New England Wolfpack Over/Under 26.5 games Current Record: 18-5-2 On Pace For: 36-10-4 Over Bets: 5 Under Bets: 3 The Wolfpack have been en fuego still, showing everyone why they are top dogs in the league right now. Without some serious changes or competition, they likely will break the 266.5 mark here, needing just 9 wins in 25 remaining games, something that seems like an easy feat for them as it stands so far. Despite the split bets, this would be a win for the betters assuming everyone bet 1 mil. New Orleans Specters Over/Under 28.5 games Current Record: 13-9-3 On Pace For: 26-18-6 Over Bets: 1 Under Bets: 3 The gap is closing on the Specters and the Over, but they still are a ways from hitting the mark. They are 2nd in the West so far, but have a long way to go to reach 29 wins for the entire season. They have a well spread schedule so far and this could benefit them in the long run, but it’s hard to see them do much more than they have. However, this is still a race to watch. San Francisco Pride Over/Under 27.5 games Current Record: 9-14-2 On Pace For: 18-28-4 Over Bets: 1 Under Bets: 2 Well this one is going all the wrong ways. The Pride have truly struggled so far this season, and I, for one, am not entirely sure why. However, without a large group of wins in the very near future, they will likely come nowhere near the mark here. The few betters who went under, consider yourselves winners now. Tampa Bay Barracuda Over/Under 22.5 games Current Record: 10-11-5 On Pace For: 19-21-10 Over Bets: 20 Under Bets: 0 The Barracuda have stayed right in that middling range of teams so far, and are keeping the betting line very close here for the latter half of their season. However, betters should be nervous, as they need 13 wins in just 24 games, not an easy feat for any team in a league like this. The Casino could win big here if they stay the course. Texas Renegades Over/Under 25.5 games Current Record: 12-11-2 On Pace For: 24-22-4 Over Bets: 1 Under Bets: 4 This one could go the distance. Staying right in the range of the betting line, Texas looks to fight in the West for a playoff spot, and the few betters here have a fun match to watch the rest of this season. Based on their remaining schedule, this really has the chance to be a last sim clincher either way! Toronto North Stars Over/Under 21.5 games Current Record: 8-15-2 On Pace For: 16-30-4 Over Bets: 2 Under Bets: 9 I told you they would win more than 4 games didn’t I? However, 21.5 looks like a long way off for this rebuilder in Toronto. They won a few surprises, including a 1-0 shutout of Buffalo, which proves there is a slim chance they could break this, but I doubt it… West Kendall Platoon Over/Under 26.5 games Current Record: 17-7-2 On Pace For: 33-13-4 Over Bets: 8 Under Bets: 1 The Platoon look like a team destined to make another strong playoff push this season, and their regular season record shows they will likely break this mark without a big trade shakeup in some way. Betters saw this coming it seems, despite the numbers, history is on their side. Their dead last penalty kill is something to worry about though. Winnipeg Jets Over/Under 25.5 games Current Record: 10-10-5 On Pace For: 20-20-10 Over Bets: 3 Under Bets: 0 They have yet to break through and hover in the middle of the West right now. A few statement wins away from moving up towards the 25.5 spot and a possible playoff berth. This could be a fun one to watch, though it looks like they likely won’t hit the mark, needing 16 wins in 25 games to close out their season. So as we reach the halfway mark of the season, it’s an exciting time for the Casino. We have a few likely winners, a few likely losers, and even more that could still go either way. I’m happy to see the numbers, for the most part, stay pretty competitive and close to the mark, and I hope betters are too. I know betting a sure thing can be fun, but if your sure thing was Tampa or Los Angeles, then bite your nails, it’s gonna be a close one ladies and gentlemen! Buckle up and enjoy the ride! (1500 words exactly)
DeletedAtUserRequestRegistered Posting Freak
alllllot of close lines this season,,, looks like the losers.exe program was onto something! and if that TB line goes under.. there will be allot of members at the SHL food banks this offseason!
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5ympathiesRegistered CCII Fan Club
Inf1d3lIIHF Federation Head Old Man 08-22-2019, 03:26 PM5ympathies Wrote:08-19-2019, 01:06 PMInf1d3l Wrote: The Wolfpack have been en fuego still, showing everyone why they are top dogs in the league right now. Without some serious changes or competition, they likely will break the 266.5 mark here God damn my writing this at work, I knew my lack of editing would come back to haunt me |
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