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Muerto · 08-07-2024, 08:44 AM

S78 Team TPE Analysis and Predictions

Hello SHL Friends! It is that time of year again where everyone is thinking about season predictions. In the past, I did a team analysis based solely on Team TPE, because I subscribe to the theory that how your team will do is largely based on the TPE strength. Things like player builds and roles, and coaching strategies and line combos do of course affect things, but I would argue to a lesser degree than just overall roster TPE. My predictions from seasons past largely held up, barring a couple teams finishing a position higher or lower than anticipated.

There are other factors to consider, such as players who are active will improve as the season goes on, so teams with more active players could get better as we progress. But for a preseason look, this can give us a decent enough look at which teams will be favored as we await the puck to drop to get the new season started!

Without further ado, let's have a look at:

NORTHEAST DIVISION

NEW ENGLAND WOLFPACK

1928 - 1832 - 1648
1620 - 1616 - 1331
1301 - 1278 - 1243

1903 - 1522
1314 - 1156
1129 - 1086

947
608

--Analysis--

Usually the Wolfpack slowplay everyone in the regular season then come out swinging in the playoffs. But this year the defending Challenge Cup champions won't catch anyone by surprise.
Pretty much the best roster in this division from top to bottom should see them safely secure the title. Are they good enough to win the whole thing again? Why not!

Stars

TORONTO NORTH STARS Stars

1809 - 1676 - 1627
1363 - 1342 - 1281
1017 - 1009 - 1003 - 797

1931 - 1688
1524 - 1370
1343 - 1113

999
364

--Analysis--

With a top line you could call elite, the best defense in the division, and very good depth in the second and third lines, Toronto looks to take a step forward this season and challenge for the division lead.
The only real glaring issue here is they seem to have 1 too many forwards on the roster ... perhaps it's part of a bold plan but more likely they will need to move someone to comply with roster rules.
Nonetheless, expect the Stars to have a solid season.

BUFFALO STAMPEDE

1905 - 1875 - 1419
1377 - 1165 - 1016
930 - 929 - 912

1786 - 1166
1028 - 980
940 - 931

835
405

--Analysis--

The Stampede have a handful of very good players, but no line that you would call truly elite. The second and third lines especially are significantly weaker than the top teams in the division. However, their best players are better than the best players of the weaker teams. Putting them kind of smack in the middle of this division.

HAMILTON STEELHAWKS

1571 - 1556 - 1439
1419 - 1415 - 1351
1055 - 939 - 595

1607 - 1447
1345 - 1120
943 - 783

1344
370

--Analysis--

Pretty decent roster here overall, a couple spots of weakness on the 3rd line which could cost them some wins in a tough division, but the top 2 lines are strong if not elite. They have the top TPE goalie in the division but is that enough to propel them over teams with a more powerful top line? I'm gonna say no.

MONTREAL PATRIOTES

1391 - 1356 - 1267
1171 - 1159 - 1107
1094 - 963 - 693

1185 - 1162
997 - 984
852 - 553

1020
562

--Analysis--

Like other teams coming out of a rebuild, the Patriotes have many reasons to be optimistic about the future, with the vast majority of their players S73 or younger. However, they are still a couple of seasons away from being able to throw out an elite top line. This season should see improved performances individually as well as amassing a few more wins but it would take some kind of miracle to make the playoffs. Next year, maybe.

[Note to graders: the intro is copy pasted so no need to include that towards the word count]

***luke*** · 08-07-2024, 04:27 PM

Interesting to read kez! New England still on top

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