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(GRADED)Deep Dive #2: Strength of Schedule Analysis
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downerPortal Admin Probably cranky
10-12-2022, 09:42 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-13-2022, 05:44 PM by CptSquall. Edited 1 time in total.)
'Strength of Schedule' is defined as follows: Strength of Schedule rankings represents the average difficulty of those opponents that each team has faced or will face during the current season. The strength of an opponent is determined by their power ranking (using league standings in their place). A low opponent average ranking indicates a difficult schedule, whereas a high opponent average ranking suggests an easier schedule.
I've calculated the following from the S68 played and pending games as of today. This first set of data is for each individual team. They are listed by their current rank in the standings, with separate sets of data for played games and their remaining games scheduled, as well as a composite score for the entire season.  Quebec City CitadellesTeam Ranking: 1 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 8.36 November: 8.40 December: 7.38 January: 7.85 February: 12.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 8.30 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 8.02  Nevada BattlebornTeam Ranking: 2 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 8.00 November: 8.31 December: 7.29 January: 8.62 February: 5.50 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 8.64 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 7.00  Regina ElkTeam Ranking: 3 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 8.36 November: 8.36 December: 7.00 January: 5.77 February: 3.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 9.44 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.20  Maine TimberTeam Ranking: 4 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 9.31 November: 8.71 December: 8.08 January: 7.00 February: 3.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 6.82 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.58  Yukon MalamutesTeam Ranking: 5 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 6.80 November: 8.29 December: 8.91 January: 7.38 February: 12.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 7.70 March: 7.00 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 8.45  Colorado RaptorsTeam Ranking: 6 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 6.86 November: 6.94 December: 7.92 January: 7.92 February: 9.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 6.13 March: 14.00 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 8.12  Detroit FalconsTeam Ranking: 7 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 8.13 November: 6.92 December: 6.21 January: 8.77 February: 6.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 6.50 March: 5.00 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.96  St. Louis ScarecrowsTeam Ranking: 8 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 7.38 November: 8.38 December: 8.50 January: 7.00 February: 5.50 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 4.11 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.47  Vancouver WhalersTeam Ranking: 9 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 6.31 November: 6.46 December: 8.00 January: 6.85 February: 9.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 8.09 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.78  Anchorage ArmadaTeam Ranking: 10 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 7.71 November: 5.50 December: 9.18 January: 7.36 February: 7.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 8.82 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.86  Kelowna KnightsTeam Ranking: 11 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 7.93 November: 7.14 December: 7.71 January: 7.69 February: 10.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 6.33 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 7.27  Carolina KrakenTeam Ranking: 12 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 6.23 November: 6.36 December: 8.14 January: 8.75 February: 1.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 8.50 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 5.79  Great Falls GrizzliesTeam Ranking: 13 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 5.92 November: 8.00 December: 6.21 January: 7.71 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 6.73 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 5.20  Newfoundland BerserkersTeam Ranking: 14 Played Games Strength of Schedule: October: 6.77 November: 5.67 December: 6.53 January: 6.54 February: 8.00 Remaining Strength of Schedule: February: 9.30 March: 6.00 Total Season Strength of Schedule: 6.86 This next set of data is reflective of each month of the season's Strength of Schedule for each individual team, ranked from hardest to easiest schedule based on the current standings. February numbers are incomplete. Of special note are the following records for the season: Hardest Schedule: Anchorage Armada: 5.50 (November)Easiest Schedule: Maine Timber: 9.31 (October)October Strength of Schedule Per Team: Great Falls Grizzlies: 5.92 Carolina Kraken: 6.23 Vancouver Whalers: 6.31 Newfoundland Berserkers: 6.77 Yukon Malamutes: 6.80 Colorado Raptors: 6.86 St. Louis Scarecrows: 7.38 Anchorage Armada: 7.71 Kelowna Knights: 7.93 Nevada Battleborn: 8.00 Detroit Falcons: 8.13 Quebec City Citadelles: 8.36 Regina Elk: 8.36 Maine Timber: 9.31November Strength of Schedule Per Team: Anchorage Armada: 5.50 Newfoundland Berserkers: 5.67 Carolina Kraken: 6.36 Vancouver Whalers: 6.46 Detroit Falcons: 6.92 Colorado Raptors: 6.94 Kelowna Knights: 7.14 Great Falls Grizzlies: 8.00 Yukon Malamutes: 8.29 Nevada Battleborn: 8.31 Regina Elk: 8.36 St. Louis Scarecrows: 8.38 Quebec City Citadelles: 8.40 Maine Timber: 8.71December Strength of Schedule Per Team: Detroit Falcons: 6.21 Great Falls Grizzlies: 6.21 Newfoundland Berserkers: 6.53 Regina Elk: 7.00 Nevada Battleborn: 7.29 Quebec City Citadelles: 7.38 Kelowna Knights: 7.71 Colorado Raptors:7.92 Vancouver Whalers: 8.00 Maine Timber: 8.08 Carolina Kraken: 8.14 St. Louis Scarecrows: 8.50 Yukon Malamutes: 8.91 Anchorage Armada: 9.18January Strength of Schedule Per Team: Regina Elk: 5.77 Newfoundland Berserkers: 6.54 Vancouver Whalers: 6.85 Maine Timber: 7.00 St. Louis Scarecrows: 7.00 Anchorage Armada: 7.36 Yukon Malamutes: 7.38 Kelowna Knights: 7.69 Great Falls Grizzlies: 7.71 Quebec City Citadelles: 7.85 Colorado Raptors: 7.92 Nevada Battleborn: 8.62 Carolina Kraken: 8.75 Detroit Falcons: 8.77February Strength of Schedule Per Team (only games already played): Carolina Kraken: 1.00 Regina Elk: 3.00 Maine Timber: 3.00 Nevada Battleborn: 5.50 St. Louis Scarecrows: 5.50 Detroit Falcons: 6.00 Anchorage Armada: 7.00 Newfoundland Berserkers: 8.00 Colorado Raptors: 9.00 Vancouver Whalers: 9.00 Kelowna Knights: 10.00 Quebec City Citadelles: 12.00 Yukon Malamutes: 12.00This set of data reflects the Strength of Schedule per team for the entire season. Full Season Strength of Schedule Per Team: Great Falls Grizzlies: 5.20 Carolina Kraken: 5.79 Regina Elk: 6.20 St. Louis Scarecrows: 6.47 Maine Timber: 6.58 Vancouver Whalers: 6.78 Newfoundland Berserkers: 6.86 Anchorage Armada: 6.86 Detroit Falcons: 6.96 Nevada Battleborn: 7.00 Kelowna Knights: 7.27 Quebec City Citadelles: 8.02 Colorado Raptors: 8.12 Yukon Malamutes: 8.45This final set of data attempts to display the differential between a teams ranking in the standings and their Strength of Schedule and how they might be benefiting from that schedule. A difference between the teams regular season rank and their Strength of Schedule shows that they are either benefiting or suffering from their Strength of Schedule. The data is displayed as follows: Team Name: -/+Differential (Regular Season Rank) (increase in rank (benefiting) or decrease in rank (suffering)) Full Season Strength of Schedule - Ranking Differential Per Team: Quebec City Citadelles: -7.02 (1st) (even) Nevada Battleborn: -5.00 (2nd) (even) Yukon Malamutes: -3.45 (5th) (+2) Regina Elk: -3.20 (3rd) (-1) Maine Timber: -2.58 (4th) (-1) Colorado Raptors: -2.12 (6th) (even) Detroit Falcons: 0.04 (7th) (even) St. Louis Scarecrows: 1.53 (8th) (even) Vancouver Whalers: 2.22 (9th) (even) Anchorage Armada: 3.14 (10th) (even) Kelowna Knights: 3.73 (11th) (even) Carolina Kraken: 6.21 (12th) (even) Newfoundland Berserkers: 7.14 (14th) (+1) Great Falls Grizzlies: 7.80 (13th) (-1)
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