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S46 - SMJHL Playoff Index

03-27-2019, 05:49 PMgrok Wrote:
03-27-2019, 05:12 PMluketd Wrote: Bro, you and I both know DET/VAN had a 50/50 chance in winning the series, let’s not act like DET outplayed VAN. And trust me the PK was not 95% in your tests, in all of my tests VAN pp was hovering at at 16-20% rate, and our PK was at 82% ish. 

In this 5 game varience both of our PP was shit and both of our PK outperformed eachother.

We did both have a 50/50 chance when we talked on Sunday. And we split the first two games 50/50 on Monday. But then DET spent hours testing special teams on Monday night. And sure we didn't get to 95%, but we did tick our needle from 80-82 to 84-86. And sure we didn't get to a huge blowout, but we did turn that 50/50 into a consistent 60/40.

I wouldn't really give a shit about anyone complaining about variance if the attitude was "we got unlucky but you earned the win," but I'm gonna stick up for my first-gen guys and for our coaching decisions when your recreate guys come in and take a rude, dismissive attitude. We put fucking work into this and I'm not gonna take a dismissal and a hand wave sitting down.

Why'd you say it was 95% if you're gonna then proceed to say it wasn't 95%

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03-31-2019, 02:25 PMKeygan Wrote:
03-27-2019, 05:49 PMgrok Wrote: We did both have a 50/50 chance when we talked on Sunday. And we split the first two games 50/50 on Monday. But then DET spent hours testing special teams on Monday night. And sure we didn't get to 95%, but we did tick our needle from 80-82 to 84-86. And sure we didn't get to a huge blowout, but we did turn that 50/50 into a consistent 60/40.

I wouldn't really give a shit about anyone complaining about variance if the attitude was "we got unlucky but you earned the win," but I'm gonna stick up for my first-gen guys and for our coaching decisions when your recreate guys come in and take a rude, dismissive attitude. We put fucking work into this and I'm not gonna take a dismissal and a hand wave sitting down.

Why'd you say it was 95% if you're gonna then proceed to say it wasn't 95%

95% was better than we were expecting, but our late test sims still averaged 4-6% higher PK than our initial sims.

Either way we got thumped by the 1 seed


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03-31-2019, 02:25 PMKeygan Wrote:
03-27-2019, 05:49 PMgrok Wrote: We did both have a 50/50 chance when we talked on Sunday. And we split the first two games 50/50 on Monday. But then DET spent hours testing special teams on Monday night. And sure we didn't get to 95%, but we did tick our needle from 80-82 to 84-86. And sure we didn't get to a huge blowout, but we did turn that 50/50 into a consistent 60/40.

I wouldn't really give a shit about anyone complaining about variance if the attitude was "we got unlucky but you earned the win," but I'm gonna stick up for my first-gen guys and for our coaching decisions when your recreate guys come in and take a rude, dismissive attitude. We put fucking work into this and I'm not gonna take a dismissal and a hand wave sitting down.

Why'd you say it was 95% if you're gonna then proceed to say it wasn't 95%

It was 95% in the actual series

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03-31-2019, 02:25 PMKeygan Wrote:
03-27-2019, 05:49 PMgrok Wrote: We did both have a 50/50 chance when we talked on Sunday. And we split the first two games 50/50 on Monday. But then DET spent hours testing special teams on Monday night. And sure we didn't get to 95%, but we did tick our needle from 80-82 to 84-86. And sure we didn't get to a huge blowout, but we did turn that 50/50 into a consistent 60/40.

I wouldn't really give a shit about anyone complaining about variance if the attitude was "we got unlucky but you earned the win," but I'm gonna stick up for my first-gen guys and for our coaching decisions when your recreate guys come in and take a rude, dismissive attitude. We put fucking work into this and I'm not gonna take a dismissal and a hand wave sitting down.

Why'd you say it was 95% if you're gonna then proceed to say it wasn't 95%

I too like restarting arguments that are a week old

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Game 2 = live

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Two more wins for the finals!

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Game 3 is over

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Game 4 is live

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I like.

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Game 5s are alive

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