Point Shares Analysis 2/3 through the season
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reid
Registered winnipeg aurora legend
(1140 words + some stats work, ready for grading)
With the SMJHL All Star game having recently been completed, I thought I would take a look at how things were shaking out two thirds of the way through the season. As everyone likes advanced stats, I thought I would take a crack at offensive, defensive, and total point shares. I used Hockey Reference’s formulas and excel to make the work less labour intensive. Without further ado, lets take a look at the results. Offensive Point Shares:
In first place by a large margin is Detroit’s Kaarlo Kekkonen. The winger was the only player to crack 7 offensive point shares so far this season. He has been on an absolute tear recently, and has a league leading 44 points. His massive amount of OPS would be enough for 5th overall in total point shares just by themselves. Kaarlo is making a strong case for the MVP, and if he continues on his hot streak, he is sure to get some attention at the end of year awards voting. Detroit’s second member of the list, Cal Labovitch, sits at 9th in OPS. He currently is sitting tied for second in the league with 37 points. After leading the league in points for a large section of the season, Kaarlo has overtaken Cal as the leader for Detroit and League points. Cal is weathering a 6 game goal scoring drought, and while he is a pass first player, he won’t be kept off the scoresheet for much longer. Halifax, St. Louis, and Anchorage also have two players each in the top 10 of OPS. Abel Skinner of Halifax is especially impressive, as he is leading all defenseman in offensive point shares. Flash Gordan is 0.6 OPS behind, sitting in 11th overall for OPS. There were 56 (out of 189) players who finished with a negative Offensive Point Shares value, most of whom were rookies. The worst of the ratings was Izzy Dudemiester with a -1.48 OPS. Defensive Point Shares:
Here we have the top 10 for defensive point shares through 33 games. None of the players who showed up in the top 10 for OPS are present here, however as mentioned, Flash Gordon placed 11th in OPS so he was close. Alex Petrenko of Anaheim was the second closest, as he placed 16th in OPS. Unsurprisingly, all ten of these players are defenseman. The highest-ranking forward was St. Louis’s James Ronlain with a 1.23 DPS, good for 35th overall. Based purely on numbers, you can see that Colorado, Kelowna, and Vancouver all have a pair of strong defenders. Just outside the top 10 are rookies Ambacas Cuddles with 1.93 DPS and Magnus Liljestrom with 1.91 DPS, good for 11th and 12th overall in DPS. This is a very impressive showing for the rookies, as a large number of their bretheren were found at the bottom of the rankings. For DPS, only 7 players had negative scores, with the lowest being Rinako Yukikami with a -0.34 DPS. Total Point Shares:
The biggest discrepancy between OPS and DPS rank among the top 10 in TPS is Indigo Trevino, who ranked 92nd in DPS, which ultimately slid him down to 3rd overall. The top 10 was fairly evenly split between forwards and defenders. Those defenders who find themselves in the top 10 are all fairly well rounded, being two-way threats. Leader of DPS Zbigniew Pokrywka ended up 11th in TPS. Overall, 34 players ended up with a negative TPS score, lead by Kelowna forward Oscar Cordero with a -1.38 TPS, while most of the 34 players were rookies. Speaking of rookies… Rookie TPS: (OPS,DPS,TPS)
Here is the top 10 rankings (by TPS) for rookies. Danny White leads the way, helped by his monster 2.54 OPS, first among rookies. Detroit’s Edward Williams was second in OPS for rookies with his 1.90. Two rookies from Detroit, St. Louis, and Newfoundland all appear in these rankings, indicating that they all had very good drafts. Goalie TPS (GPS):
Award Predictions: Using TPE to do some predictions, here we go: First All Star Team (3F-2D-1G): Kaarlo Kekkonen – Daniel Bischoff – Indigo Trevino Flash Gordon – Daniel Kuster White Goodman Second All Star team: James Ronlain – Mitchel van der Heijeden – Ruslan Zaporozhets Alex Petrenko – Abel Skinner Mike Hroch All Rookie Team: Danny White – Edward Williams – Lucas Hellquist Erben Kasius – Magnus Liljestrom A Jobin Esa Anrikkanen (Top Rookie) – Danny White Tom Corcoran (Top Goalie) – White Goodman Quilha Agante (Top Defenseman) – Flash Gordon Brandon Holmes (Top Defensive Forward) – James Ronlain Ideen Fallah (MVP) – Kaarlo Kekkonen Thanks Wasty, Carpy, JSS, TurdFerguson, Geekusoid and Awesomecakes for the sigs!
roastpuff
Registered Posting Freak
trella
Registered ambacas
ChrisFromRMNB
Registered Member
I'm just glad I'm not a complete bust
S52 SMJHL Entry Draft First Overall Selection
Chris Cerullo - Center
reid
Registered winnipeg aurora legend
mxman991
Registered Senior Member
Mutedfaith
Head Office singing solo you can't hear him
reid
Registered winnipeg aurora legend 02-12-2020, 02:25 AMMutedfaith Wrote: I thought we were friends.Almost the entire difference between you and Kaarlo was those 6 goals... OPS favours goal scorers because it uses goals created (G+0.5A), so unless you have way more assists, a playmaking forward like you is a little undervalued. I’ll do one at the end of the season, you just need to catch up! Thanks Wasty, Carpy, JSS, TurdFerguson, Geekusoid and Awesomecakes for the sigs!
Mutedfaith
Head Office singing solo you can't hear him
PremierBromanov
Registered Cool guy
reid
Registered winnipeg aurora legend 02-12-2020, 04:51 PMPremierBromanov Wrote: Can we look at the data?Currently this is housed on my work pc so I can’t upload it to google sheets. I can look into posting screenshots of the team by team results if there is interest Thanks Wasty, Carpy, JSS, TurdFerguson, Geekusoid and Awesomecakes for the sigs!
JMacNCheese
Registered Senior Member
I think you forgot something?
| 63 GP | 3 G | 16 A | 19 P | 4 | 0 PPP | 0 SHP | 10 PIM | 16 H | 64 SOG
| 66 GP | 17 G | 23 A | 40 P | -17 | 5 PPP | 0 SHP | 26 PIM | 97 H | 124 SOG | 604 FOW - 414 FOL - 59.3 FO%
Jared Hanson Trophy (Regular Season Points Leader) - 96 points
Roberto Martucci Trophy (Regular Season Goals Leader) - 47 goals
Alex Light Trophy - Most Improved Player
Ideen Fallah Trophy - SMJHL Awards Committee MVP
Raymond Lindsay - Most Outstanding Player as Voted on by the League
Laurifer Trophy - 59-5-2 120pts
S68 - 4 STAR CUP CHAMPIONS
Laurifer Trophy - 54-11-1 109pts
PremierBromanov
Registered Cool guy 02-12-2020, 05:00 PMreid_sutherland Wrote:02-12-2020, 04:51 PMPremierBromanov Wrote: Can we look at the data?Currently this is housed on my work pc so I can’t upload it to google sheets. I can look into posting screenshots of the team by team results if there is interest I'm sorry, you cant use google sheets at work? What kind of fascism is this?
LordBirdman
Registered Used to be cool 02-13-2020, 10:17 AMPremierBromanov Wrote:02-12-2020, 05:00 PMreid_sutherland Wrote: Currently this is housed on my work pc so I can’t upload it to google sheets. I can look into posting screenshots of the team by team results if there is interest Maybe he is part of the excel master race and doesn't care to try to import his pristine spreadsheet into an inferior form. |
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