11-26-2020, 05:42 PMBasedMinkus Wrote:

11-26-2020, 05:33 PMDuff101 Wrote: Hey hey hey, its this discussion again. As someone who barnstormed pretty hard for Booth with my series of articles I think I have a little insight into the rationale behind picking him over Vilde.

1. Vilde played behind the best defense in the league in terms of shots per 60 minutes.  Jobin played behind the second best defense in the league in terms of this stat. Booth played behind the 6th worst. Now what does this mean? It means that Knox Booth had a much harder go of it than Vilde did, and put up much better stats despite facing on average about 1.55x the shots per game that Vilde did. What this means is that Vilde was helped statistically by the defense, while Knox was hurt from it and both put up similar numbers, enough so that I think the slight dip in stats for Knox is overcome by the adversity that had to be overcome.

2. Wins, GAA and shoutouts aren't good stats for individual goalie evaluations in FHM. All of these stats are influenced by the team around you, With GAA and shutouts being pretty directly correlated with shot volume. This kinda ties back into point 1. SO at the end of the day the best raw data stat we have is sv% which is only a .02 point difference between the two. I don't think that gap is as big as you imply.

At the end of the day Knox Booth would be my pick for both MVP and McBride. I think this is a good change, as in the past when you look at FHM-era McBride winners it traditionally went to goalies on very good teams who had strong defenses. S55 Larson was an above average defense, S54 Doyle had the best defense in the league by shot per game and S53 Leitner had the second best. I think the committee recognizing a goalie on a team with frankly a pretty poopoo caca defense is a step in the right direction for the award as a whole.

Is it possible to get a good look at other stats used? Because looking at team dynamics shouldn't matter when looking at who was the best at their position and in every category Vilde was better.

My rationale for why I made my choice was up in the article Fuzz linked earlier. (I am not an awards voter but I hope I did manage to change some hearts and minds.)