Well round 2 has come and gone, and the Knights are headed home. I got 2/4 Teams correct, and they were not one of them. This brings me up to 4/6 for the playoffs so far. My series lengths are probably terrible, but I'll be honest I'm pretty much throw a number out there. We're down to the final four, I'll still list the regular season stats but also list the playoff percentages beside them. The data gets a little off as eliminated teams are removed from team stats. With my current prediction rate, I will probably be damning one team to an early exit. Which one of my two choices will be eliminated, or will it be both? Find out in about three days.
#1 Detroit Falcons (29-18-3) vs #6 St.Louis Scarecrows (26-19-5)
G F/A: 102.87% (4th) PO: 257.14%
Power play: 21.83% (7th) PO: 47.06%
Penalty Kill: 75.00% (10th) PO: 73.33%
SH F/A: 106.96% (3rd) PO: 134.07%
FO%: 47.60% (9th) PO: 50.60%
G F/A: 105.73% (3rd) PO: 106.67%
Power play: 22.58% (4th) PO: 10.53%
Penalty Kill: 78.03% (4th) PO: 84.00%
SH F/A: 109.56% (2nd) PO: 113.51%
FO%: 52.29% (2nd) PO: 51.35%
To be honest, I probably should have went with Detroit last round. I did mention I was picking with some bias, which is why I chose the Berserkers. They completely blew them out of the water, and seem to not care at all about their weak PK or lack of elite goaltending. St.Louis mostly kept in line with what they did during the regular season in a tight series with Colorado. They did see changes in their special teams with a huge drop in PP production, and a sizable boost to the PK. They'll need it against the monster Falcon PP. While I do still consider St.Louis low key dark horses, Detroit's performance is the last round has swayed me. If they played a closer series against Newfoundland I might have opted for St.Louis, but not anymore. The Scarecrows do have my personal favourite goalie left in Elizabeth Doyle. She has personally crushed my dreams on two separate occasions. Maybe she'll put a stop to all these screaming birds.
My Predicted Outcome: Detroit in 6
#2 Carolina Kraken (29-18-3) vs #4 Anaheim Outlaws (27-17-6)
G F/A: 107.10% (2nd) PO: 109.52%
Power play: 22.42% (5th) PO: 21.74%
Penalty Kill: 79.45% (2nd) PO: 83.33%
SH F/A: 100.91% (5th) PO: 89.47%
FO%: 51.37% (4th) PO: 48.09%
G F/A: 98.11% (7th) PO: 150.00%
Power play: 27.91% (1st) PO: 25.00%
Penalty Kill: 78.02% (5th) PO: 100.00%
SH F/A: 105.87% (4th) PO: 127.86%
FO%: 52.90% (1st) PO: 55.21%
My team is no longer playing so I can finally pick without bias, right? Wrong. I have personal stake in this series as Kelowna has Carolina's 1st next season. Unfortunately for Carolina finishing in second didn't give them an easy route in the playoffs, it may have actually given them one of, if not the hardest. The Kraken's stats kept mostly in line after the first seven game series of these playoffs. The biggest drop was their shot generation, which puts them at by fair the lowest of remaining teams. They'll be relying on their forward depth to carry them against a well rounded Anaheim squad. Anaheim saw a great improvement on their regular season stats during a fairly clean six game series against Vancouver. Somehow they managed to shutdown all 25 of Vancouver's power plays. Will they be able to continue this madness against Carolina? I think the Kraken will go the distance again, but come up short.