Theorycraft, WORST CASE SCENARIO right now is obviously either Muted or Durden playing 5d chess. Seems like a real ballsy play though and they would need a huge amount of luck to Kill their roles earlier to go uncontested.
2 wolves left thought it seems, if Grum is indeed a wolf then it's GG tomorrow, given that Durden isnt playing the 5d chess earlier mentioned. If however there is a Kill we could only Assume that Durden is a wolf. I doubt it though.
I vote Grum too obviously at it seems to be between him and me this night. Either way if the theory We're going after right now is true, it will be GG either way.
In what universe do the wolves attack one of their own?
In one, like this to establish credibility. Stuff like that happens often. How alibi's and stuff are created.
I figured too, since you were the first one to jump on my suspicion..that you too would be the first to jump on here and try to pick holes in my theory.
When someone has something to hide, they will do everything they can to try and disprove, debunk, or discredit those that have gotten the right idea.
In what universe do the wolves attack one of their own?
In one, like this to establish credibility. Stuff like that happens often. How alibi's and stuff are created.
I figured too, since you were the first one to jump on my suspicion..that you too would be the first to jump on here and try to pick holes in my theory.
When someone has something to hide, they will do everything they can to try and disprove, debunk, or discredit those that have gotten the right idea.
Credibility? By killing 1/3rd of the remaining wolves ourselves?
The reason Im the first to shoot at your theory is because its 10pm here, and Im on the couch watching TV. And because our stream isnt up yet.
Funnily, when someone has the right idea they will also try to convince those whose sight is clouded of the truth.
03-31-2020, 04:05 PMスウェグキング Wrote: Ok, on my break for 30 min.
Theorycraft, WORST CASE SCENARIO right now is obviously either Muted or Durden playing 5d chess. Seems like a real ballsy play though and they would need a huge amount of luck to Kill their roles earlier to go uncontested.
2 wolves left thought it seems, if Grum is indeed a wolf then it's GG tomorrow, given that Durden isnt playing the 5d chess earlier mentioned. If however there is a Kill we could only Assume that Durden is a wolf. I doubt it though.
I vote Grum too obviously at it seems to be between him and me this night. Either way if the theory We're going after right now is true, it will be GG either way.
im kind of done with muted running the show here, im taking back my grum vote and voting for
Geek has some really great points and durden and muted have been running the village into a tight little plan they have made with nobody really arguing and blindly following.
+1 @"Geekusoid" you might be the real hero the villagers deserve
03-31-2020, 04:07 PMスウェグキング Wrote: Oh fuck i already forgot i saved durden on night 3, obv he isnt a wolf, forget about the 5d chess, that would imply 6d chess
i highly suspect durden is turncoat and muted is wolf. It makes sense now.
03-31-2020, 04:07 PMGeekusoid Wrote: In one, like this to establish credibility. Stuff like that happens often. How alibi's and stuff are created.
I figured too, since you were the first one to jump on my suspicion..that you too would be the first to jump on here and try to pick holes in my theory.
When someone has something to hide, they will do everything they can to try and disprove, debunk, or discredit those that have gotten the right idea.
Credibility? By killing 1/3rd of the remaining wolves ourselves?
The reason Im the first to shoot at your theory is because its 10pm here, and Im on the couch watching TV. And because our stream isnt up yet.
Funnily, when someone has the right idea they will also try to convince those whose sight is clouded of the truth.
IF you're right, we have nothing to worry about.
IF I'm right, we (the village) have nothing to worry about.
Either way, its a win win for team-village...unless this 6d chess goes really off the wall.
I'm okay now with a nightfall @Mook since everyone seems set on voting.
03-31-2020, 04:00 PMGeekusoid Wrote: What I'm about to say is going to sound crazy...and considering how well the werewolves have been playing, it will absolutely sound crazy...but I assure you it is sane.
I think Mutedfaith and Durden are the last two wolves. I don't believe there's a turncoat either. If there is, i'll be pleasantly surprised.
@"TommySalami" has claimed from day one that he is a villager. What role he has, I don't recall right now without scrolling back, however...Durden has sworn that he blocked him and that he is the alpha wolf. That would seem logical, however the events that happened last night 100% disprove it. NHamlet was in fact the old alpha. His lynching had him speak "This will not change our outcome". THe wolves are much closer to winning than the rest of us who are actual villagers think. Also last night, there was a new alpha that attacked. This was proven in the fact that Mook took the time to specifically say that there was a different howl than the others.
I am 100% confident in the belief that Segi was a wolf (blue eyes specifically mentioned upon his lynching), and that Nhamlet was the old alpha. So that's 2/4 wolves.
I am also now 100% certain that my hunter killing of Shiny was absolute brutal rookie mistake on my part. Doing so, killed an important role, possibly seer or something else which now allowed Muted or Durden to claim their roles without any counter because the only legal counters are already dead.
Hockeyiscool is by claim, knight. Nobody has contested that either, not even the wolves, so unless that actually changes via a night hit or lynching...villagers could win...or (crazy thought), he's actually one of the wolves or the turncoat just playing along. The latter part is doubtful for me right now.
Grum is a villager
Fish is a villager
TNL, no idea yet.
Sweg has claimed doctor. We know there's one in the game, and werewolves were very very heavy on trying to get rid of him a couple days ago as its a critical role.
So with 9 players left, if we have a turncoat that's 2 wolves + tc.
That means they can, successfully eliminate myself and 5 other villagers in the next 3 nightfalls to win. 3 nights! Its no wonder NHamlet stated "This will not change our outcome", because they practically have it in the bag.
With everyone jumping on board with Grum right now, I can see this pattern coming to fruition...and since I've already wasted my ability I can't stop it. In fact I'm almost certain that I will be killed either tonight, or the next night as my only safety is the doctor.
With that being said, I heavily encourage @hockeyiscool, @"TommySalami", Sweg (I can't tag your name because I can't spell it), and @"jfisherr" to change their votes over, to either Durden or Mutedfaith.
Edit* I'm wholly planning too on Muted or Durden to work extra hard to disprove this....stuff has just gotten...too convenient.
If I'm right, hopefully the village comes to and we win.
If I'm wrong and they're right...the village still wins.
I will be adding to this in about an hour, just commuting home from work. Just talking now cause I think you’re on to something, Durden’s had us hook, line and seeker since claiming escort, and muted wanting to rush things is questionable.
03-31-2020, 04:10 PMMutedfaith Wrote: Credibility? By killing 1/3rd of the remaining wolves ourselves?
The reason Im the first to shoot at your theory is because its 10pm here, and Im on the couch watching TV. And because our stream isnt up yet.
Funnily, when someone has the right idea they will also try to convince those whose sight is clouded of the truth.
IF you're right, we have nothing to worry about.
IF I'm right, we (the village) have nothing to worry about.
Either way, its a win win for team-village...unless this 6d chess goes really off the wall.
I'm okay now with a nightfall @Mook since everyone seems set on voting.
i say the safest and easiest way to win is hang muted now and grum tomorrow
03-31-2020, 04:14 PMjfisherr Wrote: I will be adding to this in about an hour, just commuting home from work. Just talking now cause I think you’re on to something, Durden’s had us hook, line and seeker since claiming escort, and muted wanting to rush things is questionable.
they are playing a great tandem, turncoat (druden) + ww (muted)
im really impressed.
another note @"jfisherr"
I'm willing to bet real money, with durden claiming he found the alpha and again blocking so called alpha tonight
we won't see a killing and durden will use that as claiming tommy the alpha 100% .... im 1000% onto his games