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S59 PT #1 Preseason

While QCC has come off a fantastic Season with a cup winning performance! However this season QCC is looking to be in a rebuild. A true send off performance, QCC is now looking at having a bunch of young and fresh faces on the team. Now led in net by Tyler Ward. The team looks to fall into the middle of the pack in terms of the standing and maybe upset some people in the play offs. Once the rookies begin to flesh out their talents and skills, the team will hopefully be back at the top where they belong. Though I wouldn't count them out just yet. As the team seems to be moving in the right direction to be a threat towards the middle part of the season. We could easily see them landing in the top three spots and snagging another cup.

Now up in the SHL, Eddyton is looking to play better in the playoffs then they did before. Tyler Ward may end up picking up a few more games with the team this season. Hopefully they'll be able to snag the Challenge Cup!

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With a strong preseason performance in the SMJHL, I think it's pretty safe to assume that Newfoundland is going to have a strong season. Led by what could be argued to be the top defensive unit in the entirety of juniors and a mature and well-trained group up front, Newfoundland likely only trails Kelowna to be the favorite for the Four Star Cup. Come playoff time, we know that defense is the key to a championship run. The Berserkers have defense in spades. If Balcers can perform like he did last year, and Gretzky can continue to stand out among players returning for their fourth season in the SMJHL, there is no doubt that the Zerks have a real shot at turning a strong preseason, into a strong regular season and in turn, creating strong momentum as they head toward the playoffs. Small sample sizes of the preseason are certainly an issue. But, if the eye test has shown us anything, its that this Berserkers team has what it takes to turn in a great regular season performance and deep playoff run.

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Thanks to Merica for my sig

The regular season has begun and here I am still making predictions based on the pre-season. That's just how I roll. Anyway, in browsing through the index (which looks SO MUCH BETTER NOW) I noticed that during the pre-season my boy Alex Petrenko led the San Francisco Pride in points. Granted, it was only four points, but still. This means, obviously, that Alex is also going to lead the Pride in points during the regular season despite the fact that he's more of a defensive minded player. So with that we can only assume that Alex will be one of the Pride's best players on both offense and defense. He's going to have to have a monster season for this to happen, but we know he's capable of it. Also, Poopity Scoop (how excited is Alex to be on the line with Poopity Scoop?) had 27 blocks during the preseason which clearly means the guy is going to destroy everybody during the regular season. That first line defense will not be stopped, y'all! OK, that prediction may be a little more realistic than the first one. We'll see what happens.

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(sigs courtesy of Carpy48, BDonini, Turd Ferguson, FlappyGiraffe, and Sulovilen)

My prediction for the next season is that both of the previous expansion teams (Seattle Argonauts and the Atlanta Inferno) are going to be playoff teams. Not only that, one of them is going to lift the cup at the end of the season. Atlanta finished the pre-season tied for 1st place with a record of 7-0-0. Guy Zheng was a huge part of that with a league leading 15 points. They also got stellar goaltending from Samat Beibitzhanov who had a GAA of 1.57 and a SV% of .940. The Seattle Argonauts finished 5-2-0 with Jack Kanoff and Bo Kane leading the way with 7 points each. Seattle made a big move and add Michael Scarn to the team. They desperately needed some help offensively so it's a big pick-up for them. It will be very interesting to see if both of these teams can live up to their pre-season hype going into the regular season.

Falcons Canada

One thing to take away from the preseason is the rise and fall of teams. Calgary and Manhattan are seemingly falling apart at the seams and found themselves struggling in training camp. Lots of talent has moved around and the veterans are not getting any younger at this rate. Both of these teams are slated to finish at about the .500 mark. That is not where they want to be for sure. As the talent develops, the team will see more success. As they improve, so do other teams and it becomes harder to keep up. When there are teams that fall, there are always teams that rise. Seattle and Baltimore appear to be turning over a new leaf and the rebuild is nearing the end. They pulled dominating performances to start the preseason and look to build off of those wins. There is always room to step back especially with the top contenders figuring themselves out with the annual shuffling of the rosters. There will be a change of the guard within the next season or two. I can feel it in my bones.

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Ah, Preseason, our alls favourite time of the season. The takes are hot, the games are not important at all and the strategies are ... interesting. If we take Carolina's performance from then they are going to tear the league apart. Out of seven Pre-Season games we won six, scoring most goals of all teams in it and finished second only behind Maine who won them all. To be honest after 10 games played it does not look too bad for the Kraken anyways but I do not trust everything yet. I have been hurt too many times in the past and I decided to leave every tiny bit of hope behind until we see the results in the playoffs.

So now I can talk about Finn von Murphenstein. If Pre-Season is any indication the recent unbanking of TPE should help him perform a little bit better on the first line if he stays there. Last season he pretty much underperformed against higher TPE players and was outplayed most of the time. He probably will not be the highest scorer or best defender on defence since he is mostly a versatile player playing with good linemates, but Pre-Season makes me hopeful he will perform admirably.

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Canada Timber  Jean-Jacques François Jacques-Jean || S74  Timber Canada
Austria Barracuda Kraken  Finn von Murphenstein || S57 - S72  Kraken Barracuda Austria 

It is uncertain what exactly had changed, but it's quite apparent that Robot Sunfish saw a noticeable increase in his stats. Through the 7 game preseason Sunfish recorded 2 goals, 5 assists, 3 takeaways and blocked shots each, and 6 hits. Not only that, but his shoot/gial percentage almost doubled at more than 20%, and his game ratings gained about 10 points at both sides. It seems like Sunfish putting in some work and getting to the 350 TPE cap yielded some results.

And fortunately for Sunfish and Vancouver, this phenomenon most likely won't end up as a short term fluke. As a sophomore player who has reached the midway cap, Sunfish is expected to have a bigger role with the Whalers than a third liner which he was last season. As many articles project Sunfish to be in the second line and in turn see a significant increase in ice time, it will be safe to assume that Sunfish will see a more productive season this year. (170)

I'll follow my casino bet and say a story we'll see is the Atlanta Inferno win the Challenge Cup.  Atlanta has a great chance to win their division this year.  The bye that could give them would go a long way to helping them get deeper into the playoffs.  They typically win a round or so and get knocked out.  Dick Clapper was added in offseason free agency which really shores up their 1st line on both sides of the ice.  Patric Twist was on their top line last season and really didn't put up a performance deserving of that spot.  But he should thrive on the second line against weaker competition.  Ekko van Otter and Guy Zheng should also see an increase in their points.  With their new linemate Clapper having much more finishing talent.  Their young goalies also have another year under their belt and should continue their development.  It will be great to see a non Great Lakes division team win the Cup and I think Atlanta is that team.

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ISFL PT

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If we are basing the whole season off of the seven games of the preseason then I am effed in the A. In 7 games I only put up 4 points. That scaled up to only around 37 points in a 66 game season. That would be a serious step back for me considering that I potted 40 and 39 as a defender the last two seasons. Even with age catching up to me common sense would dictate that I'd be getting at least a few more points with offense being my focus after my switch to the wing. If the regular season plays out like that I'm going to be the angriest old man in the SHL. On the plus side for the Platoon, Krash would end the season with around 56 goals and 94 points which would have everyone in Baltimore going nuts. The Platoon finished 2nd in the division which I'll take any day of the week at this point in the rebuild. All in all, it would be a disappointing personal season for me but probably and overall good one for the Platoon. I'll live.

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Edmonton had another undefeated pre-season (and to take it a step further, has started the season 7-0, admittedly against weaker competition). The logical conclusion is that Edmonton will win it all. a cool 66-0 in the regular season and then a 3 round super sweep in the postseason (it's 3 rounds right? that's a really rookie question). We'll call it 78-0 as the target. it's been an exciting time with a rush of rookies, new roster players, and draftees that edmonton is picking up the pace. Each of the newcomers has brought their own discord flair and zerg (artemious nystrom? spelling?) has really upped the ante with his custom emote game.

I'm not worried about jinxing it (not yet at least), because we've already jinxed ourselves to hell. a "66-0" emoji is now available in the Edmonton locker room discord (my request for a 78-0 hasn't been answered yet), and it is posted regularly during live streams. similarly to how the dugout isn't supposed to talk about no-hitter or perfect game occurring on the mound, if one person says something about it then its a jinx, but if everyone says something about it than it neutralizes the jinx. in principle I "believe" in jinxes in that if you are actually that good, you don't care about the hype and anyone who does is holding you back, not helping you build, and your sole focus should be on executing your responsibilities, but because that's pretty much impossible for a season as long as ours, in a sport as random as hockey, simulated by an emotionless (most of the time) computer, I'm happy to say "I guarantee that the Edmonton Blizzard will go 78-0-0".

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Through four games, defensive defensewoman Emilia Bergman had three goals (don't bother looking at the index now, it's not relevant for this specific line of argument). Provided her 25% shooting (!!) and 0.75 goals per game pace, it's reasonable to assume that Bergman will continue to grow into an offensive juggernaut and end the season with ~40 goals. As a result, she'll be switched very quickly to forward -- and because she'll be on the offensive side of the ice rather than defensive, there's essentially no limit to her growth. Not only will she continue growing in her goals-per-game pace to 1.25-1.5 goals/game (~70 goals/season), she'll easily pass those skills on to the assist-generating side of her game. it's not unrealistic to expect her to hit 150 points per season at this point, and that's assuming she's given 0 power play time or shootout opportunities. In essence, she's the guiding force for all of Buffalo's future, offensive and defensive, and the league should just expect her to lead Buffalo to a few consecutive titles as a result.

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Thanks @Amidships!

Another preseason is in the books and now is the perfect time for grandiose predictions and the hottest of takes. There are a number of things I can predict, but I’ll stick to my player, my junior team for this. On my front, I have unbanked my TPE from 350 to 425 and I can feel the power already! I am more defencive focused, but on good advice, I have balanced some of my offenceive attributes aswell. I’ll never be a big goal scorer, but this won’t prevent me from adding a quarterback element to my otherwise extremely defencive game. I’m hoping this will result in an uptick in assists while preventing as many turnovers. For Basil, I’m predicting a Giveaway-to-Takeaway ratio of under 1 for the first time in his young career. The Colorado Raptors are looking hot out of the gates. While there are a few teams that will be competing for the coveted Four Star Cup , we have to be in competition as one of the favourites again. According to the SJHN article, they have us at 4th in the power rankings. We will need to take advantage of our strong depth and many capped players in order to make it deep in the playoffs again.
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Based on the results of this preseason two things are evident.

1: Ruslan Zaporozhets will manage to be around point per game with his 8 points in 7 games. Extrapolating those results should see him hit 75 points which is a career high. Given that he had 5 goals in those 7 games, that would put him on pace for 47 goals. All of this is made more amazing by the fact that he was playing on a 94 PDO, showing that he was, for lack of a better term unlucky.

2: The Toronto North Stars, even when unlucky are going to be a force. Branching off from my little PDO stat about Zapo is the fact that only two members of Stargang had a PDO above 100. Meaning that up and down the team played at odds with the hockey gods. This team still went 5-2-0.

In summery, this team is damn good and seeing them make the playoffs will be unsurprising in spite of the insanity of the Great Lakes Division.

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