Teams Future State
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spidey
Registered S8, S9 Challenge Cup Champion
This project started with a future analysis with each team in the SMJHL, but as I dove deeper I realized it was the state of each team coming into the draft. I have broken up each team into tiers based on how secure their rosters are going into the off-season and given an analysis of what they should do at the draft. For a lot of teams this year it could be a very big draft with big holes to fill and goaltenders and defenders will be a premium.
S: Vancouver Whalers Maine Timber A: Regina Elks Newfoundland Berserkers B: Carolina Kraken Kelowna Knights Colorado Raptors Great Falls Grizzlies Nevada Battleborn C: Yukon Malamutes St. Louis Scarecrows Anchorage Armada Quebec City Citadelle D: Detroit Falcons Vanvouver Whalers: Draft Picks: VAN 1st, VAN 2nd, VAN 3rd, CAR 3rd Leaving: No one Inactive Veteran: Sam Conroy – Goalie Lebron James – Center Sergey Bombay – Right Wing Vancouver seems to be in a great place for the next few years. All inactive players are depth fillers, and their goalie is the back-up. I imagine they will go defense first as they only have 3 on the roster. Then start to fill gaps as needed, potentially picking up a future goalie in later rounds of the draft. Vancouver could have another solid draft owning four picks in the early rounds. If they select right they will be setup as the future team to beat in the next couple of seasons. Maine Timber: Draft Picks: MAN 1st, MAN 2nd, MAN 4th, STL 4th Leaving: Barefoot Sugars – Left Wing Brent Turnerson – Goalie J- Roc – Defense Inactive Veterans: N/A Talk about being in a good place right now. The only pressing need is a goalie. Could Maine pull the trigger and draft one in the first round? Will they move a pick to get one? Right now Maine has no back-up and no starter for next season. Beyond that, they are stocked with talent for next year. The year after may be another story as their legendary S69 draft class will be moving on. With two early picks and a two mid round picks I could see Main flipping them for multiple picks next season as they already have the talent in their locker room and besides a goalie no other pressing need. Regina Elk: Draft Picks: REG 1st, DET 2nd, REG 2nd, STL 2nd Leaving: Peter Mollinek – Right Wing Jake Jackal – Defense André Santiago – Goalie Inactive Veterans: Walter Ulrich – Right Wing Kool-Aid McKinstry – Left Wing Don Juanary – Defense The Elk have a lot of ways they could go in the draft, but there is no pressing need. Anyone leaving or inactive has been a depth position on their roster. It looks like they will approach the draft with Best Player Available to fill in roster spots. Maybe pick up a new goalie later if one is available but there will be no pressing need to do so with Ally starting in net. A healthy Four picks in the first 2 rounds (three coming in the 2nd round) the Elk could really position their roster for success. Newfoundland Berserkers: Draft Picks: COL 2nd, NL 2nd, NL 3rd, NL 4th Leaving: Matiss Ozolinsh – Right Wing Guinness O'Bigbers – Left Wing Hingle McCringleberry – Right Wing Lester Oiduser – Defense Philip Fry – Defense Tummy Hurts – Goalie Inactive Veterans: Jacob Fournier – Left Wing Ryan McKennedy – Center When I initially looked at the players leaving I thought the Berserkers were in for a rough off-season. The more I dove into their roster I realized how deep and talented they are. They will be drafting defense this year, perhaps with their top two picks but there isn’t a pressing need to find replacements. They might not be as dominate as seasons pasts, but they will still be a competitive team despite losing their top line this off-season. They are setup well with the draft despite missing a 1st round pick, with two picks in the 2nd and two picks in the mid rounds they can easily keep their roster full of talented active players. Carolina Kraken: Draft Picks: CAR 1st, CAR 2nd, REG 3rd, STL 3rd, QUE 4th Leaving: Liam Logger – Left Wing Derek Martin – Left Wing Marton Diehm – Left Wing Andy Ceylon – Defense Inactive Veterans: Kelly O'Neil – Defense Elias Adelberg – Goalie Edmund Rothaus – Defense The Kraken could go a couple of ways. Even though they are losing some talented forwards, their real need is on defense and in goal. Both goalies are inactive and neither one is well developed. Their defense could use some help with a top tier or two earner. But what is interesting, half their roster is season 71 rookies. If I was in their shoes, I would be tempted to grab the top skill position talent with those 5 picks and role with the inactive goalies, creating a top talent team with a young nucleus based under Season 71 & 72 players. Pick up the goalie next season. Kelowna Knights: Draft Picks: KEL 1st, KEL 2nd, KEL 3rd, KEL 4th Leaving: James Lutz – Left Wing Cal Kono – Defense Pete Aleman – Defense Sea Jebus – Goalie Ekaterina Valieva – Right Wing Inactive Veterans: Wilhelm von Hindenburg II – Center Isak Sogard – Defense The Knights have kept all their picks for this year’s draft and have not added any making two early picks and two mid round picks. They will have a few holes to fill in the draft, primarily on defense and they will need to address a backup goalie for the future which could be picked up later. The question will be how and when they will make each of these picks. Overall, the Knights are well setup to continue as a playoff team with a solid depth of active players. Great Falls Grizzlies: Draft Picks: GFG 1st, GFG 2nd, GFG 3rd, QUE 3rd, GFG 4th Leaving: Bandit Heeler – Goalie Loosh O'Sullivan – Center Chris Valentine – Defense Joshua Weber – Defense Inactive Veteran : Matt Ox – Defense Marquise Hill – Right Wing C.J. Sparks – Goalie CJ showed to be a capable goalie despite being inactive. Meaning they would not be pressed into taking a goalie early in the draft; but I do believe they will be watching the goalie market. If there is an early run they will be forced to jump on board to try and get a goalie of the future. There are quite a few teams in need of replacements and depth netminders this season. If not properly address it could be a position of weakness on their roster. I see the Grizzlies focusing in on a defender or two earlier in the draft, looking to fill the holes as they go. They are well situated for the draft this year with all their own picks and an additional mid round pick with Quebec’s 3rd rounder. Nevada Battleborn: Draft Picks: NEV 1st, NEV 3rd Leaving: John Brown – Defense Johnny Chase – Defense Dr. Hugh Orson – Goalie Inactive Veteran: Seth Fischer – Left Wing Derek Fitz – Left Wing Darius Garland – Right Wing Kai Scott – Defense Armed with only one pick in the 1st round and one pick in the third round, Nevada is in a pretty good place. Their major needs will be defense, finding a replacement for John Brown arguably their best defender and finding a back-up goalie for Luka Nogoaluv. All their inactives are bottom of the depth chart scrubs that can be replaced easily. If they find a gem hiding later in the draft they are going to be ahead of the game this off-season. Yukon Malamutes: Draft Picks: YUM 2nd, CAR 4th, NEV 4th, YUM 4th Leaving: Edvin Kalberg - Defense Andrei Nikitin – Left Wing Inactive Veteran: Happy Gilmore - Center Ryan Burton - Goalie Don Aven – Center Austin Doumakis – Center Asher Gibbons – Goalie Malamutes are in an interesting place. They only have two players leaving this season but have several inactive veterans including both their goalies, neither goalie has progressed beyond an active first year rookie. Finding a new starting goalie and a top tier defender to replace Kalberg will be priority one for the Malamute. Nikitin was a depth forward as are the inactives. With only one pick in the first 3 rounds and three picks in round 4 they will have to do their homework on all players in hopes to pick up some late round gems. St. Louis Scarecrows: Draft Picks: STL 1st, COL 1st, NL 1st, NEV 2nd, MAN 3rd, COL 4th Leaving: Heath Nicol – Defense Fred Harwood – Defense Sam Squanch – Defense Jason JR – Defense Inactive Veteran: Antoine Gauthier - Defense Peter Sandstrom – Right Wing Alex Orpheus – Defense Jimmy McNulty – Left Wing Kay Lee – Goalie HELP IS ON THE WAY! Armed with 5 picks (three in the 1st round) they are going to have a chance to fill in some roster spots. The Scarecrow are a team in a growing phase, the amount of defense that are inactive is a sure sign of where they need to focus their growth (Antoine is borderline inactive). That said, there is light at the end of the tunnel. They have some amazing building blocks with their rookies, and Kay is good enough as an inactive goalie to start until Baretto is ready to take over. Quebec City Citadelle: Draft Picks: QUE 1st, QUE 2nd Leaving: Tam Kove – Right Wing Walter Sobchak – Goalie Jarrod Lakemore – Center Alexander Minaj –Defense Viktor Hargreeves – Center Redd Savage – Defense Inactive Veterans: Edouard Tremblay-Lafleur – Defense Connor Bedard – Center William Boucher – Goalie Lance Googoo – Right Wing Stumptavian Roboclick – Defense Kieran Kovalev – Left Wing The old guard are on their way out for Quebec leaving a massive need to fill the void. This is not to say Quebec is in dire straits, but they could be a little thin in depth. They have talented players on their roster, just not many of them. The unfortunate part of Quebec they only have two picks in the early round and nothing in the mid rounds (3 and 4). They will need to get lucky in round 5 and beyond if they are going to fill their roster with talented players. Anchorage Armada: Draft Picks ANC 1st, ANC 2nd, ANC 3rd, ANC 4th Leaving : Davos Otasrob – Defense Lazos Otasrob – Defense Sebastien Regazzoni – Center Ignacio Garza – Right Wing Jayden Martens – Defense Inactive Veteran: Little Monky – Defense You go Defense! There is no question in this between the season they experienced and all the players leaving. Pick up every defender you can and fill up that roster. They will miss Sebastien and Ignacio, but they have enough depth to make up for them moving on. Goaltending is solid with Walsh back in net. At least the first three picks in Round 1,2,3 should be defenders to help Walsh next season. If you get lucky with round 1 and 2 they will be just as good then the players you are losing by the end of the season. Next year they can look at other concerns, this year it is defense. Detroit Falcons: Draft Picks: DET 1st, YUM 1st, DET 3rd, YUM 3rd, DET 4th Leaving: Deemed Inappropriate – Center Swig McJigger – Right Wing Bastien Primeau – Right Wing Swiss Cheese – Goalie Nathan Meagher – Defense Nash Topalo – Defense Derrick Prince – Wing Jeff Newman – Goalie Dan Geer – Defense Inactive Veteran: Tobias Wrexks – Center Aurora Azjha – Right Wing Olaf Hofmann – Defense Detroit could be in for a very rough off-season. There will be a lot of work to do to get them back to being competitive with heavy holes to be filled from the net out. Nearly half the team is graduating out of the SMJHL including both their goalies and almost all their defense. Part of me feels it would be Best Player Available at the draft with so many holes to fill, but they must use their prime picks wisely. Could this be a case of trading down and getting a couple of extra picks with one of their two first rounders? They will need to focus on building from the net out in this year’s draft. Breakdown of players aging out by position: Defense: 25 Center: 5 Winger: 16 Goalies: 9 Good Luck the the SMJHL General Managers as when we approach draft season! Sig by Lazyeye
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spidey
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