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Nhamlet · 08-03-2020, 11:54 AM

Graphs and rankings through Friday 7/31/20 (10/24/21 game date)

[Image: 16.png]

Highest ranked: 12
Lowest ranked: 16

Juke: It’s been a rough start for TOR, dropping their first 11 games, however their schedule has been nothing short of a nightmare. Playing BUF, HAM x4, CHI x2, EDM, NOL, CGY, and NEW, it’s not too surprising that they’ve come up winless so far. Carpet is putting up an impressive .912 save % despite facing 65 shots per 60, and a ton of the team find themselves in the top 10 in SB. The rebuild is still chugging along with plenty of great youth talent in the pipeline, but for now ML will continue to have to pull his hair out about playing in the Great Lakes division.

Faelax: It’s hard to really judge this Toronto team. While they do sit at an awful 1-13 record, good for worst in the league, they have also only played playoff teams to this point. Star goaltender Harry Carpet has a .918% save percentage, and that’s about the only positives to draw from Toronto stats thus far. With the schedule still being rough for the North Stars over the next week, it might be a little while before we see what this team really looks like.

Nham: Prior to the start of the season, there was a lot of hope for this team. Not to necessarily achieve anything significantly different than the last couple seasons, but that it had seemed like the plan that had been set in motion ages ago was starting to take shape, and how this team was moving in the right direction. With how the standings and scores have shown over the last week or so, it almost feels like anything but positive things for this organization. Still, as tough as its been now for them, given how long this team has been patiently waiting for more pieces to develop, it’s unlikely that this rough patch of having likely the toughest schedule anybody’s had to date, will change their plans for the future.

[Image: 15.png]

Highest ranked: 13
Lowest ranked: 15

Juke: Similar to TOR, MIN is fueled by great goaltending, as well as Gibbles and Seger, who both lead (or tied with the lead) the league in SB and hits among their position. Tegernako is second in the league in save percentage and first in GSAA, and his workload isn’t going anywhere as he faces 50 shots a game. MIN has shown signs of competitiveness, only losing to CGY x2, EDM, and BUF all by 1 goal, but ultimately they’ve only won one game and come into the ranking on a 6 game losing streak.

Faelax: Minnesota looks very similar to last season thus far. Solid goaltending from Tegernako, along with Seger and Gibbles carrying the weight of the team on the rest of the ice. While they did have a nice shootout win over CGY, the offense is going to really need to step up, before another great season from Tegernako gets wasted.

Nham: Another season and another more of the same for Minnesota. You have great defensive performances by their stars in Gibbles and Seger backed by Tegernako facing the 3rd highest shots against. Some nice things to pick out are the rookies like Cal Labovitch and Jmac Ncheese who have stepped up and still been able to put up a few points so far in their rookie stint. Also it’ll continue to be the same story but Tegernako continues to put up amazing numbers, though on some level it’s hard to separate how much of it is the skater difference and how much is his own performance.

[Image: 14.png]

Highest ranked: 14
Lowest ranked: 14

Juke: It only took TBB one game to surpass their wins from last season, beating BAP in their season opener for their first win since S53. TBB is another team loaded with young talent and prospects, and while they won’t be making any playoff pushes this season, they can still set their sights on spoiling a lot of people’s casino parlays.

Faelax: The Barracuda have emerged from the depths of their 0-50 season looking upwards. With two wins already, Tampa Bay is certainly making anyone who bet on the under line sweat. The top line for the Barracuda of Fitted-Fiddler-Ronlain is actually putting up some decent offensive numbers, and Benjamin Blue has looked decent between the pipes. Expect a couple more seasons similar to this one from the Barracudas, who look to start competing when their strong draft classes start to come up.

Nham: As many are already well aware, moving from a mostly SMJHL level roster to at least below replacement level SHL players did wonders for not being completely dumpstered, as their top line continues to carry the load in general. They’ll likely look pretty similar in the next couple seasons as it’ll still be a while before there’s enough significant and talented pieces in place before there’s a big change in their week to week performance. For now they can take solace in knowing that they are not the worst ranked team in the league for a while longer. It’ll be interesting if they can defy the odds of being the Garbage Cup winner this season as it seems just about everybody had predicted.

[Image: 13.png]

Highest ranked: 13
Lowest ranked: 15

Juke: WPG is another team had that a tough schedule to start the season, playing MAN, EDM, CGY x4, NOL, BAP, and TEX x2, and going 2-7-1 in that stretch. They’re 11th in the league in goals for per game, but 14th in goals against. Despite being in #11th in scoring, they have the 4th most powerplay goals in the league, scoring 0.9 powerplay goals a game. The offensive trio of Shepard, Crudelli, and Muerto are driving the play for WPG, leading all forwards in the league in relative corsi, and have combined for 18 points so far on the season.

Faelax: The schedule makers did not like these bottom tier teams to start out the year, with Winnipeg facing a tough stretch right off the bat. Nick Brain is looking like the top line center many have thought he was for the last couple of seasons, and Goku Muerto is the driving force behind a very surprisingly good Jets powerplay. Once rookie goalie Strom Chamberlain settles into his new starting job, expect this team to start looking more competitive.

Nham: I think that Winnipeg probably feels relatively positive despite their less than stellar start given the kind of pieces they have on the roster right now. With elite players like Nick Brain, Commander Shepard and Slip McScruff, they’re not that far off in terms of pieces compared to their Eastern counterpart in the New England Wolfpack who find themselves just behind the division leading Manhattan Rage. I don’t see the Jets pushing Edmonton in the same way, but with only three clear teams ahead of the pack in the West, there’s a fourth ticket to the postseason dance that is available. Defensively that’s the biggest hole so far, so if both the back end and the goaltending can step it up over the rest of the season, they could find themselves in the playoffs.

[Image: 12.png]

Highest ranked: 12
Lowest ranked: 16

Juke: BAP pulled out a big OT win against NOL in their most recent game as of this ranking, as well as wins over NEW and TBB on the season. They’re 13th in goals scored as well as goals against, and have the best corsi against in the WPG, SFP, NEW pack of teams in the corsi chart. Emerson, BAP’s highest TPE player by over 400 TPE, is playing great in the defensive end – just a few blocked shots away from the league lead, and tied for 3rd among D in takeaways.

Faelax: The rebuilding Platoon are looking a bit rough out of the gate, but certainly not hopeless. Nat Emerson is playing some of the best defensive hockey in the league, currently sitting at the top of the DGR leaderboard. But beyond him and goalie Luca Del Vecchio, there really isn’t much to say about this fairly average Baltimore roster. They are really looking for some of their S53 guys to come in next season and having a big impact right off of the bat.

Nham: Given what this team had originally shown with a loss to TBB, it was not out of the question that people had immediately placed Baltimore right at the bottom of the league, based on transitive logic. As weak as the Platoon roster is, now that they’ve committed to the rebuild, they still might be a half step ahead of the likes of Tampa Bay in their current state. Still that isn’t saying much considering the team is in the bottom 4 for goals scored for and goals allowed.

[Image: 11.png]

Highest ranked: 11
Lowest ranked: 12

Juke: SFP comes into the rankings at 5-5, but 12th in the league in scoring and goals against, and have a -13 goal differential. Their defensive pairing of Bork and Schieck are the biggest bright spots on the team - the only two players with positive corsi, and leading the league in relative corsi by a large margin. Rookie goaltender Kavanagh is playing well so far, statistically in the top half of starting goalies, ranking 8th among starters in save percentage and GSAA.

Faelax: After a tumultuous offseason for the Pride, they sit at an alright 5-5 record, which considering the changes that happened this offseason, is pretty good. Contracts aside, Jeff Brogen and Vince Reaper are both producing on the scoresheet, and rookie goaltender Cillian Kavanagh looks to be the real deal. The Pride might be a dark horse playoff contender if they can play a bit stingier on defense.

Nham: San Francisco has made casino players sweat early and often in the season with a couple stolen wins from the likes of New Orleans and Texas. While they haven’t been able to replicate that kind of success against teams similar or better than them in roster depth, they’ve still picked up on the likely wins against the likes of Tampa Bay and Minnesota along the way. For a team that looks to prep themselves for a new face-lift, they still have the horses to make themselves a competitor for the last Western conference playoff spot.

[Image: 10.png]

Highest ranked: 10
Lowest ranked: 10

Juke: LAP started the season off by dropping their first 3 games, but have won 6 out of the 8 since then up until this ranking. They’re generating a league-average amount of shot attempts per game, but have the 7th best shot suppression in the league. Cannellini, Jones, and Cleary are all scoring goals within the top 10 among their position. Knox Booth got off to a slow start, and is in the bottom 3 of starting goalie save percentage, but if he climbs back to his steady play for the last few seasons, LAP could see themselves climb in the rankings.

Faelax: Another team that made a big move this offseason, the Panthers are sitting a point out of the playoffs at the time of this writing. Knox Booth is struggling out of the gate after signing his big extension, but if he can return to the form he had last season, there is no reason to think that this shoot first LA team couldn’t make the playoffs.

Nham: The Western Conference has been a complete jumble of a mess in the middle tier of teams given how many have tried to sell in preparation for the future, Los Angeles included. The Panthers sent away Hiro Fujikawa, Theo Morgan and Jon Toner but still have enough quality on their team to continue their defensive style of forcing teams to low shot chances overall while converting on timely chances of their own.

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Highest ranked: 7
Lowest ranked: 9

Juke: Last season CHI emerged as one of the best teams in the league, securing the 3rd best record in the league despite playing in the same division as the top 2 teams. However, they’re off to a slower start this season, beginning at 6-5, with losses to MAN, NEW x2, HAM, and BUF. However, just like last season, they have a top 3 team corsi ratio, and have been held back by a league worse 96.6 PDO. They have a team save percentage of 90.4%, so it seems like they’re currently being cursed by a 6-7% shooting percentage. Shooting percentages that low are likely to regress back to normal, and if they do, CHI will likely start collecting wins at a rate similar to last season.

Faelax: Probably the biggest surprise of the season thus far is the very average looking Chicago team. However, I do not expect them to stay like this. The PDO numbers are very low across the board for the Syndicate, which leads me to think that they still have plenty of room to improve. Cameron Carter II didn’t get the memo about the team being unlucky though, as he has 9 goals through 14 games with a shooting percentage of about 21%. Parker Smeb is still hitting everything that moves while having good offensive numbers, so there are still some positives to what the team is doing. They play a couple of key games vs NOLA/TEX/BUF this week, so we should have a better idea of how they really look after those games.

Nham: As much as ‘unlucky’ has been the theme for the Syndicate, the main thing that has been staining their overwise expected win/loss record are a pair of losses in regulation to the New England Wolfpack who has been on the other side of the spectrum in terms of surpassing expectations. It’s still early and while they sit just inside the playoffs currently, they could solidify that in continuing to pick up the wins in the games they’re expected to, plus turning around the season series against the Wolfpack who have proven to be a thorn in most teams’ sides.

[Image: 8b.png]

Highest ranked: 7
Lowest ranked: 9

Juke: After unloading a few ~2K TPE players this offseason, NEW has still managed to impress in the start of the year, starting out at 7-4, and beating strong teams like BUF, HAM, and CHI x2. They’re currently one point back from the division lead on MAN (and in the time between us ranking and writing, they now have a game in hand). However, NEW currently has a below league average corsi for and corsi against, and are being propelled by a very high 104 PDO, so it will be interesting to follow along to see how sustainable this early success can be.

Faelax: New England, despite trading away five very talented players, still looks like a team that could potentially threaten the playoff spot of one of the big four teams from the east. Slap McShotty is well over a point per game, and new center Mitchell van der Heijden looks to be settling in quite nicely as the 2C for the Wolfpack. The question for this team: can rookie netminder Frans Eller keep up this great start?

Nham: New England certainly does have the case for being the Texas Renegades of S55, with a handful of high TPE players backed by a relatively solid roster and a young goalie. Where the comparisons end is as how as the team has been, considering how much better the top of the East is, it’s hard to imagine the Wolfpack continuing to pick up enough points to be banked for the eventual drift back into normalcy. As it stands they sit just outside the playoffs with an underperforming Chicago and Manhattan not quite running away with the division as originally expected. They’ll need to find a 3rd gear to put themselves in a more secure position or hope that this is a season where one of the big cup contenders are due for a bit upset in the regular season.

[Image: 7.png]

Highest ranked: 5
Lowest ranked: 9

Juke: After barely missing out on playoffs last season, TEX continued to improve in the offseason, and started out the season at 6-3-1. They find themselves pretty much dead center of the league average for corsi, as well as 8th and 7th in scoring and goals against respectively. Kvalheim is continuing his award-winning two-way play once again, and Manuel Gotze got off to a hot start, and was 8th in forward scoring at the time of the ranking. A lot of their success has also been in the net, as Goodman is currently 4th in save percentage and GSAA among starting goalies.

Faelax: After a disappointing ending to last season, Texas looks poised to improve on last season and make the playoffs this year. Their big offseason acquisition of Piotr Czerkawski has settled in nicely, and the reigning Dar winner Andreas Kvalheim continues to dominate on both ends of the ice. White Goodman has also been putting up great numbers, with a .922% save percentage and a 3.73 GSAA.

Nham: With San Francisco and Los Angeles moving out some of their higher end players, it was clear that Texas was going to benefit from that alone. However with another addition of their own and an additional offseason to get better for their young stars, this young roster is really coming together and has the potential to make some noise in the regular season. Their biggest barrier to that kind of result will be the key intra divisional games against Los Angeles and San Francisco. So far in 4 games they are 3-0-1 which has been a great start. This trend keeps up and it’s likely that they’ll have secured their spot before the end of the 45 game mark.

[Image: 5b.png]

Highest ranked: 5
Lowest ranked: 9

Juke: MAN got off to a hot 7-1-1 start, but lost the last two games coming into the ranking, as well as dropped their two games on Saturday in addition. Despite the solid record at 7-3-1 at the time of ranking, they find themselves in the middle of the league in many underlying stats: 8th in corsi for and corsi against, 9th in goals scored, 10th in goals against, and Larson seems to have been given the goalie curse this season, ranking last among starters in save percentage despite being at 1400 TPE. However, MAN is scoring at the 6th best rate in the league at even strength, thanks largely in part to Roenick tied for 3rd in the league in goals, and if the powerplay can start clicking then they should be able to pick back up at a similar success that they started the season with.

Faelax: Manhattan started off incredibly hot, but cooled down a bit on the last sim day this week. Their high powered offense looks much better on paper than it is in game, but there is too much talent here for that to continue. Hopefully Peter Larson isn't the recipient of the FHM goalie curse, and rebounds back to form soon.

Nham: My initial impression of the Rage was that they weren’t quite dominating teams as I or others might have come to expect given the high end purchases they made in Ola Wagstrom and solidifying their defensive depth with Geoff Moore. The 15 points in 9 games appeared to say otherwise but they had only outscored their opponents by more than 3 goals twice (vs NEW and TBB) and otherwise had to fight their way for a lot of their wins which did not come easily. After that, things started to tumble down as they a string of other contending teams in NOLA, HAM and BUF, losing all three of those games by 3 goals or more. With such a big piece added to their team, it was already predetermined that they would get better automatically, it still seems more tinkering needs to be done to find their stride.

[Image: 5a.png]

Highest ranked: 5
Lowest ranked: 8

Juke: CGY added an 1800 TPE D this offseason and it’s paid off, as they have the 3rd best corsi against in the league, and 6th best goals against. As is often the case with CGY, their offense is also effective, with the 6th best corsi for and 4th best goals scored. Batsbak and Lockhart are both 6th among their position in points scored at the time of this writing. Despite the good team corsi ratios, they have the 4th lowest PDO in the league, so it’s possible that CGY can be even more dangerous if that number climbs back up to 100 in the future.

Faelax: Calgary is right in the middle of the western conference blender that seems to come up every season. A 7-4-1 record so far, the Dragons are looking to make a good run at it this season. New defenseman Leopold Lockhart has slid in quite nicely for Calgary, helping them play some of the best defense in the league.

Nham: Even with the Dragons making a relatively sizable purchase of their own in the offseason with the addition of Leopold Lockhart, the Dragons were still going to play 2nd fiddle to Edmonton and New Orleans. Still, between that and a new reformed Maxime Bouchard, this team has had a fairly up and down performance still. They’ve usurped their provincial counterparts twice already in convincing fashion but also also been tripped up by the lesser Winnipeg and Minnesota teams. It’s hard to truly get a sense of how well this team will perform as this season goes on given that they’re currently around well above average for goals scored, goals allowed and in possession metrics.

[Image: 4.png]

Highest ranked: 3
Lowest ranked: 4

Juke: EDM is another team that improved their roster in the offseason, and came into S55 as a Western Conference favorite. They’ve gotten off to a hot start, going 9-2 while dropping games to TEX and NEW. Last season EDM had one of the best offenses, but their defense was around league average, but this season they’re now strong on both sides of the puck. They have the 5th best CF and 2nd best CA, which has translated into the 2nd most goals per game, and 4th best goals against.

Faelax: The high powered Edmonton offense from last season is back, and with an improved defense behind them, the Blizzard look like a dangerous team. They started off strong in week 1, only dropping 2 games to playoff contenders. Tony Pepperoni, along with newcomers Theo Morgan and Bo Kane are all scoring at a ridiculous pace. Look out for the Blizzard this season.

Nham: With so much talent joining the Blizzard this season, it was interesting to try and anticipate how they would make the most of it in becoming a better team. Minus the experimental roles that saw them consistently dominate weaker teams to start, the team has looked to run a very balanced offense this season, rather than laying its hopes all on the feet of Tony Pepperoni and Julio Tokolosh. This model seems much more sustainable so far as there are only a handful of players with less than double digit points at this mark. Defensively they’ve taken a step forward and I have to imagine a large part of that is thanks to the addition of Jon Toner and the swap of Conor Tanner to the back end to help beef up the quality on that end.

[Image: 3.png]

Highest ranked: 3
Lowest ranked: 4

Juke: After spending much of the last 2 seasons in the top 3 of our power rankings, the Steelhawks once again clock in at #3 to start the S55 season. After loading up on talent in the offseason following a Challenge Cup loss, HAM started the season out at 8-3-1, including 6 wins in their last 7 games. New acquisition Dick Clapper is comfortably in second in the league in points. They made a gamble that their talented D squad would be able to lower the workload of the lowest TPE goalie tandem in the league, and it’s paid off so far: Jobin has been able to settle into his rookie season seamlessly, and is 6th/7th in the league in save percentage/GSAA, and HAM is 3rd in the league in goals against. He’s getting all the goal support he needs as well, as HAM is 4th/5th in the league in corsi for/goals for.

Faelax: Hamilton made a huge deal in the offseason after getting swept in the Challenge Cup finals, and it looks like a fantastic move thus far. Dick Clapper is 2nd in the league in points, and Guy Zheng is near a point per game while playing good defense. Rookie goalie A Jobin was the big question mark for the Steelhawks coming into the season, but he has looked good so far, posting a .910% save percentage.

Nham: It was a particularly frenetic offseason for the otherwise steady Hamilton Steekhawks. Clapper was brought to be the new offensive lead with Lagerfield in his last season before being retired and Zheng to ensure that their defensive quality remained at the top bar. So far despite some of the questions in net, it does seem that the roster crafting theory of putting a better team in front rather than being backstopped by a great goalie is gaining more steam with the top two teams in the East being backstopped by goalies in the rookie and sophomore seasons.

[Image: 2.png]

Highest ranked: 2
Lowest ranked: 2

Juke: NOL came into the season as the highest overall TPE team in the league, and they’ve been able to translate that into the lead in the Western Conference so far. They’ve yet to lose in regulation, and currently sit at 8-0-3. Cain sits on his own island in the goalie chart, with sizeable leads in save percentage and GAA, and 3rd in GSAA. A lot of credit goes to the defense, who rank at 5th in the league in shot suppression, while their offense is at number 1 in shot attempts and 3rd in scoring.

Faelax: The reigning champions look like they have not lost a step, sitting comfortably in 1st place in the west. The top line of Mayfield-Slothface-Cloutier looks fantastic thus far, and the defense is playing great. Star goalie Aleister Cain has posted an insanely high .937% save percentage, and is looking like he has avoided the slow start that plagued him last year.

Nham: New Orleans didn’t sit still in their post cup offseason win, ensuring that they could go for another run with their winning group. There was a decent number of players regressing this season, including 3 of their top forwards as well as Demaricus Smyth on the backend and Cain taking a step back as well. Still, they continue to steam roll over teams with the amount of talent they have. They haven’t shown quite the same kind of domination as Buffalo has in the east, though that could be attributed to the relative difference of Buffalo having the higher top end with their skaters while New Orleans has better depth in general. Olivier Cloutier has been a fantastic scorer but I’m still waiting for a couple other players to take the clear lead offensively.

[Image: 1.png]

Highest ranked: 1
Lowest ranked: 1

Juke: BUF starts the season in a place that’s familiar for them from last season, first in the power rankings. Only dropping their last game before this ranking, they start out at 11-1, and leading the league in scoring. Luffy has been lighting up the league and on a 100P pace, but Scarn, Sharp, Darrow, Scoop, and Wang all also rank top 10 in points within their position. Their talented D roster has led to the league lead in corsi against, and Doyle is following up her triple trophy winning season with her 5th and 6th ranking among starters in save percentage and GSAA. BUF’s 3.42 goal differential per game leads by almost half a goal per game, and the strong start establishes them as the early favorite as we start a new week of sims.

Faelax: Just when people thought this team couldn't look better, they have done exactly that. Star forward and captain Monkey D. Luffy is currently on pace for a 100 point season. The top two lines are probably the best in the league, and the defense is as strong as ever. Buffalo is going to be the favorite for the presidents trophy yet again, and are looking to bring the 3rd cup in franchise history home this season.

Nham: With a dominant performance of over 5 goals per game, allowing almost less than 2, every game with Buffalo just seems to be a matter of the opponents covering their eyes and ears and hoping that it’s over quickly. Unfortunately with how often the red light comes on, the inevitable loss gets dragged on further and further. The measure of PDO goes out the window with a team like this given that as much as you want to say that their shooting percentage should regress, a team this talented is likely to convert on more of their chances anyways. It’s just going to be a fun couple of weeks for this team to see what kind of records and awards they can rack up in the meantime, just before the real deal of the playoffs. It’s truly cup or bust for these guys.

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Team graphs
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Skater stats
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Skater advanced stats
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Goalie Stats
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Code:
Split between Smalinowski7, Faelax and myself

ml002 · 08-03-2020, 12:21 PM

I'm accepting transfers to move out of this hell hole division

Credit to Copenhagen, Wasty, FlappyGiraffe, InciteHysteria, and caltroit_red_flames
[Image: MM4nqx6.png]

***WannabeFinn*** · 08-03-2020, 12:42 PM

08-03-2020, 12:21 PMml002 Wrote: I'm accepting transfers to move out of this hell hole division

Lol no

ml002 · 08-03-2020, 12:44 PM

08-03-2020, 12:42 PMWannabeFinn Wrote:
08-03-2020, 12:21 PMml002 Wrote: I'm accepting transfers to move out of this hell hole division
Lol no

Yeah that's always the response Crybaby

Credit to Copenhagen, Wasty, FlappyGiraffe, InciteHysteria, and caltroit_red_flames
[Image: MM4nqx6.png]

***WannabeFinn*** · 08-03-2020, 12:45 PM

08-03-2020, 12:44 PMml002 Wrote:
08-03-2020, 12:42 PMWannabeFinn Wrote: Lol no
Yeah that's always the response

Now bring that ass back over here we aren’t finished yet

***bluesfan55*** · 08-03-2020, 01:04 PM

ty to @High Stick King @EvilAllBran and @Ragnar for the sigs

***WannabeFinn*** · 08-03-2020, 02:49 PM

In the words of Tomen’s people: Was hast du gedacht?

Stampede

*Carpy48* · 08-03-2020, 02:52 PM

The only way from here is up!

***Chevy*** · 08-03-2020, 03:13 PM

Thelastheraclid · 08-04-2020, 09:26 PM

BAP BAP BAP

tweedledunn · 08-05-2020, 01:53 AM

SlashACM · 08-05-2020, 03:00 AM

Western conference bestern conference

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