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S66 Fantasy Analyzer
#1
(This post was last modified: 07-01-2022, 10:08 AM by Z0REM. Edited 2 times in total.)

Ever sat there and wondered if you should have drafted differently because you didn't know what you were doing? See below for the league leaders and their new TPE post regression and what rank they would be based off TPE.  More to come via actual analysis.  Missing goalies for now.

Alright so lets talk about S66. It is going to be a random madhouse of teams not knowing what is going on, so I have to think that players that previously did well are going to be mostly alright, but the truth of the matter is that it is going to be all about TPE. At first strategies will be a mess as we all start getting acclimated to the no testing, just roll the dice bandwagon. That being said, there is an ultimate truth about fantasy that every new person should know. The best defensemen on the worst teams tend to do very well in fantasy because they will hit more and block more shots. What ever FHM is coded to do, it tends to make those players more risky as they face higher volumes of shots and plays. So they will rack up the hits and shot blocks for those delicious points. The second truth is that regression hurts only a little bit as most people recoup stats by midway through the season or at the end. So it might affect overall performance, but dont get suckered into picking the best player last year without checking to see how far they have regressed and what stats they regressed. It could be that a top dman regressed everything but defensive stats and their points drop off. If you make that mistake then you essentially waste a pick.

Lets do a team analysis after regression, if we look at new values of TPE before next updates we get a shakeout of this order by average TPE per team:
ATL 1539
LAP 1499
NOLA1470
SEA 1453
SFP 1395
BAL 1375
TBB 1348
BUF 1344
WPG 1305
TOR 1303
MAN 1266
CHI 1224
PHI 1155
CGY 1125
EDM 1048
MIN 970
MTL 967
NEW 900
TEX 866
HAM 857

As we can see, a lot of last season has not changed. Around the board, everyone is starting pretty low with teams 2-7 within a close margin, 8-11 are close, and then the rest round out the bottoms. This does try to take in retirements as I found them, but a lot of people are making this their last season (Arsene Leclerc I'm looking at you). Good thing MIN has lots of good prospects as losing their top dman probably won't change much except total achievable by that player. Now if you take the ultimate truth to be true, then some of the best sleeper dmen will come out of these bottom 8 teams. While not the highest tpe dmen, you can expect them to get some points. The 4th truth here, is that sometimes the best forward on a bad team can have a crazy season. Let's look at Igor Victory from last season. He had great TPE count vs the other forward and got in decent shot blocks and hits as well. The result was that he pulled rank 9 on the board. But he was at 1866 TPE and is now falling all the way to 1586. It's still enough to pull best forward on his team, but I would not look to pick him up early just because he was top 9 last season.

So 8 players to a group and 3 forwards, 2 dmen, and 1 goalie. So lets look at the top new players:
Top 16 Dmen by TPE:
Puddles O'Duck 1878
Jonas Kahnwald 1846
Arsene Leclerc 1841
Michael Withecheck 1816
Luc Blouin 1791
Kermit Murphy 1765
Ole Olson 1749
Sean Gatez 1735
Sven Svechnikov 1713
Bean Beanman 1686
Angus McFife XVIII 1656
Nikolaj Boyle 1648
Rikard Bjerg 1612
Shion Okamoto 1610
Ryosuke Sato 1600
Ethan Bouchard 1589

These are the top 16 dmen in the league by TPE. If I had more time I would say who should be traded out for the top dmen on the lower ranked teams.

Top 24 Forwards
Noel Blanchet 1887
Pablo Salvatici 1859
Vlastislav Malik 1841
Rock Strongo 1836
Luukas Lilja 1827
Tomas Lind 1823
Dogwood Maple 1821
Friedensreich Hundertwasser 1805
Lemo Pihl 1796
Anton Mihailov 1795
Kaapo Kampainen 1780
Vaseline Podcalzone 1778
Sarah Burke 1774
Kev Kevens 1771
Dwayne Gretzky 1755
Liam Slate 1753
Ryu Jones 1734
Long John Donair 1728
Theo Kondos 1704
Mats Marner 1704
William Salming 1689
Lord Raiden 1689
Xavier Doom 1683
Miguel Hefeweizen 1680

Same about the forwards as the dmen.

That is about all the time and information I can share this season. I have a job you know and I love me some fake money, but it doesn't pay the bills. At this point I am pretty sure this got buried which was half the point because I don't want people taking my TPE, but for those who actually used this article maybe it helped. Or maybe we all get bottom of our groups because at the end of the day it is just fantasy and we cannot scream our players to do better. Good luck out there fantasy gamblers.


All Players with stats and ranks
Team Pos  Name                 Points    S65TPE S66  Rank New Rank
TBB F Aleksander Kozlov 474.9 1858 1635 1 45
SEA F Vaseline Podcalzone 474.4 2021 1778 2 17
SFP D Rikard Bjerg 470         1897 1612 3 48
MIN D Arsene Leclerc 466.6 2024 1841 4 5
SEA F Liam Slate         462.2 2063 1753 5 22
BUF F Chimkin Wing 460.3 1873 1648 6 41
CHI F Theo Kondos 456.8 2005 1704 7 28
LAP F Long John Donair 446         1964 1728 8 26
PHI F Igor Victory 441.7 1866 1586 9 57
WPG F Bas O'Bigbers 439.8 1807 1644 10 44
MAN F Jonathan Granstrom 438         1723 1567 11 61
CHI F Mats Marner 436.8 1856 1704 12 29
NOLA D Ole Olson 436.7 1749 13 23
HAM D Guy O'Shea 434.3 1464 1200 14 146
PHI F Evil AllBran 433.5 1504 15 75
PHI D Nathan Thomas 427.5 1790 1521 16 66
CHI F Gudmundur Kristjansson427.2 1959 1665 17 37
ATL F Burlok Sulfurgold 426.8 1785 1517 18 68
BAL F Ryu Jones 426.5         2041 1734 19 25
ATL F Anton Mihailov 423.9 1973 1795 20 14
CGY D Eero Makela 423.1 1414 21 97
WPG F Ryuuji Kawashima 421.1 1657 22 39
MTL F Roderic Banes 417.6 1395 23 101
SFP F Walton Stromberg 416.5 1974 1677 24 35
SEA F Calvin Hobbes 412.7 1832 1612 25 49
BAL D Zebulon Leavitt 407.2 1676 1474 26 83
MAN F Tomas Lind 400.3 1823 27 9
ATL D Puddles O'Duck 398.3 1878 28 2
HAM F Devin Basher 397.8 1460 1241 29 137
TBB F Zoltan Topalo 396         1705 1449 30 90
TBB F Dwight Knight 395.2 1888 1604 31 53
LAP F Luukas Lilja 389.7 2008 1827 32 8
MTL D Zak Wilson 388.9 1330 33 113
LAP F Rock Strongo 386.7 2087 1836 34 7
ATL F Pablo Salvatici 385.9 2043 1859 35 3
NEW F Makrus The Tater Jager 382.4         1603 36 54
WPG D Ren-Ekelemchi Shimizu-Okoli380.7 1372 1248 37 134
ATL D Michael Withecheck 380.4 2064 1816 38 11
SFP F Kev Kevens 379.9 2013 1771 39 19
TOR F Jimmy Larkin-Conway 379.9 1157 40 152
EDM D Karlstrasse Scholz 379.3 955 716 41 252
BUF F KEKW Kekkonen  376.4 1450 42 89
BAL D Jasper Maximov         375.1 1772 1559 43 62
NOLAF Xavier Doom 373.9 1913 1683 44 33
TBB D Colin Lambert 373.7 1605 1364 45 107
WPG F Dwayne Gretzky         373.2 1929 1755 46 21
NEW D Sven Yxskaft 372.6 1767 1466 47 85
BAL F Ethan Duncan 372         1780 1513 48 69
LAP D Jonas Kahnwald 370.9 2098 1846 49 4
BAL F Lord Raiden 369.6 1988 1689 50 30
SEA F William Salming 367.3 1920 1689 51 31
MIN D Adrik Baranov 366.1 1358 1154 52 153
LAP D Sean Gatez 366       1907 1735 53 24
SFP F Jack Klompus 365.4 1798 1528 54 65
NOLAF Vlastislav Malik         363.2      2024 1841 55 6
CHI D Pasta the Turtle 362.8 1406 56 98
BUF F Steve Harrington 360.3 1693 1439 57 93
TOR F Lemo Pihl         359.9 2042 1796 58 13
BAL F Noel Blanchet 359.7 1887 59 1
EDM F Patrik Money 359.3 1301 1144 60 156
ATL F Salzberger Lillehammersson357.6      1625 61 47
SFP D Alex Petrenko 356.3 1522 1217 62 142
TOR D Magnus Liljestrom 356.2 1718 1460 63 86
HAM F Rikard Hammarberg 353.3 1207 1025 64 195
MAN D Adelie de Pengu         352.8 1242 1313 65 117
HAM F Aaron Wilson 352         844 658 66 259
TBB F Michael Fitted 351.3 1239 966 67 207
PHI D Bork Lazer         350         1273 1082 68 181
NOLAF Valtterri Kauppinen 348.4      1871 1646 69 43
EDM F Kaapo Kampainen 347.6 1957 1780 70 16
BAL D Adam Barron 347.6 1487 1159 71 151
WPG D Marcel Beck 345.4 1493 72 77
BUF D Billy Brooks 345.3 1580 73 58
TEX F Jarmo Kekalainen 344.5 1393 1267 74 131
BUF D Bean Beanman 341.8 1686 75 32
SFP F Sven Svenson 341.6 1751 1488 76 78
PHI F Kaarlo Kekkonen 341.4 1518 1214 77 144
MTL D Jonathon Hagan         338.5 1454 78 87
ATL D Jay Sink                 337.3 1511 79 71
CGY D Sekai Wollker 337.2 1266 80 132
ATL D Angus McFife XVIII 337         1656 81 40
MAN D Sven Svechnikov 336.5 1713 82 27
WPG F Alexander Wachter 334.4 1329 1063 83 188
SFP F Slavakov Vladimirashenko333.5 1519 84 67
PHI D Samuel Michaud         332.6 1294 1009 85 199
TOR F Dogwood Maple         332.1 1821 86 10
CGY D A-Rye Izzy         329.5 1436 87 94
PHI F Conner Snooks 329.2 1122 88 165
NOLAF Friedensreich Hundertwasser329.2 1805 89 12
TEX D Adam Scianna 326.8 1338 1097 90 176
WPG F Gonzo Gobbledygook 326.8 1476 91 81
TEX D Bjorn Leppanen 326.7 1308 1020 92 197
LAP F Sarah Burke 325.8 2016 1774 93 18
NEW D Cup Noodle 324.1 944 94 211
TEX F Edward Williams         322.8 1269 1078 95 184
CHI F Ryuuji Minamino 322.1 1777 1510 96 72
TOR D Keith Lee         322         1381 1132 97 161
LAP F Grape Fruit 322         1831 1611 98 50
ATL F Shoyo Hinata 321 1122 99 166
MTL F Kriss Darzins 320         1454 1235 100 139
SEA F Vladmir Petrov 319         1710 1504 101 76
HAM D Evangelos Giannopoulos318.8 1183 1041 102 192
SEA F Jean-Uhtred Soderberg-Tremblay317.8 17501487 103 79
SEA F Rhys Pritchard 317.8 1687 1383 104 104
F Jack Kanoff 316.4 105 276
TOR D Ryosuke Sato 316.3 1883 1600 106 55
MAN F Robert E O Speedwagon 316 1485 107 80
BAL F Mew Two         314.2 1512 108 70
PHI F Patrick Shepherd 313.3 1109 942 109 214
CHI D Jukka Timonen 312.7 1535 1304 110 123
EDM F Kyle Sutton 312.3 1737 1476 111 82
BAL F Daniil Nikiforov 312.2 1733 1473 112 84
CHI F Martijn Westbroek 311.6 1072 804 113 240
SFP D Ruggs McOoooh 310.9 1658 1508 114 73
CHI F Nike Kickz Jr 308.5 1665 115 38
F Justin Keahi 307.2 116 277
BUF F Jaska Seppala 306.3 1710 1453 117 88
BUF D Emilia Bergman 305.7 1563 1328 118 114
ATL F Pavel Jeziak 305.6 1539 119 64
EDM F Julio Tokolosh 305 1134 850 120 231
D Lyle Odelein III 303.5 121 278
SEA D Teddy Murphy 302.6 1643 1396 122 99
HAM D Valdis Vejonis 301.9 744 123 248
TOR F Shane Duffy Jr 300.1 1179 124 148
HAM F Dick Clapper 299.9 1131 848 125 233
BAL F Cal Labovitch 299 1575 126 60
TOR F Videl Valor         298.5 1627 127 46
WPG F Stan Din'desque         297.4 1449 129 91
NEW D Bjorn Jakobsen 295.2 1244 130 136
TEX D Dirty Boots 294.7 1081 131 182
TEX F Kentaro Kikuchi 293.7 904 132 221
MTL F Igor Petrov 293.5 1265 1151 133 154
TBB D Axel Foley         292.5 1859 1580 134 59
TBB F James Ronlain 292 1087 847 135 234
CHI D Shion Okamoto 291.6 1610 136 51
LAP D Elias Kierkegaard 290.3 1568 1332 137 112
WPG F KnockedOut ByOvechkin 290.2 1117 982 138 205
SEA D Dee Centerman IV 287.6 1570 1381 139 105
CGY F Duncan Mackenzie 286.2 1280 140 128
LAP F Cormac Ponaire          285.9 1137 141 160
ATL F Jay Cue                 285.9 1257 142 133
MAN F Lev Lebedev 285 1392 143 103
TEX F Eric Hudson 284.1 1212 1030 144 194
TBB F Panda Panico 283.9 1200 1020 145 198
ATL F Paul Binder 283.8 1559 146 63
CGY F Alexis Saint-Michel 283 1162 147 150
TBB D Luc Blouin         282.8 1791 148 15
PHI D Hans Graf         282.2 1196 149 147
TOR D Yuuto Kira Cloudera Jr281.8 1474 1297 150 125
SEA D Daryl Urquhart 277.6 1428 151 95
NEW D Kayden Pale 276.7 996 152 204
BAL D Valentin Kalashnikov 276.2 1265 1075 153 186
NOLA D Zakkira Diporov 276.1 1499 1274 154 129
BAL F Rob Wright 275.1 1767 1607 155 52
MIN D Collin Gibbles 275 1003 752 156 245
BUF D Nicholas Owens 274.7 1392 1113 157 171
PHI F Mitchell van der Heijden274.2 1385 1108 158 174
MIN D Conner Tanner 272.4 1102 159 175
MIN F Kynwyl Pearce 269.8 1295 1139 160 158
SEA F Daud Ramza 268.5 1357 161 108
CHI F Ryan Shepard 266.3 1183 922 162 219
CHI D Tanjiro Kamado 263.5 1387 1220 163 141
TOR F High Haschdi 263 1339 164 110
MAN F Greg Davies 261.7 1297 165 126
MTL D Vadim Askerov 261.4 931 166 218
TOR F Ty Murphy         261.1 1396 167 100
NOLAD Melvin Majestik-Moose259.7 1284 169 127
CHI D Akira Ren         259.3 1344 1048 170 191
TBB F Ambacas Cuddles 257.4 1207 1025 171 196
NOLA D Nikolaj Boyle 256.5 1648 172 42
SFP F Miguel Hefeweizen 256.4 1680 173 34
MTL F Zdenko Beranek 256 983 865 174 227
F Slap McShotty 255.3 175 280
TBB F Marco Barengrub 255.3 1675 176 36
F James Kimanje 254.7 177 281
ATL D Jack Nishimori 254.5 1336 178 111
MTL D Daedalus James 254.2 887 780 179 242
SEA D Kermit Murphy 253.6 1765 180 20
CGY F Grogu Mandosson 253.5 1299 181 124
LAP F Jimmy Wagner 252.7 1775 1508 182 74
TBB D Ethan Bouchard 251.8 1589 183 56
MAN F Towelie 251.8 822 184 238
MAN F Aksel Fiske 251.5 1088 1112 185 172
BUF F Greyson Cooper         250.9 1418 186 96
HAM D Zlatan Ibrahimovic Jr 250.7 1012 809 187 239
D NeverBrokeAgain YoungBoy250.5 188 282
TBB D Finn von Murphenstein249.3 1377 189 106
ATL F Viktor Krunk 249.1 1078 190 185
CGY F Taylor Johansson 247.8 1306 1110 191 173
SFP F Henrik Lekberg Osterman245.8 1451 1131 192 162
MIN F Daniel Laforest 245.4 981 833 193 236
PHI F Ric Charlesworth 245.1 999 194 202
MTL D Pojo Biscuit 245.1 1179 1002 195 201
BUF F Konstantin Selich 244.2 1247 196 135
BUF D Zayne Dangle 243.7 1120 197 167
SEA F Sconnie McHits 243.4 1090 198 177
CHI D Ben Jammin 243 1141 199 157
MAN D Conner Hutton 242.5 1261 1071 200 187
SFP D Borje Samuelsson 242.1 918 201 220
NEW F Paul Koivu         240.3 1090 202 178
SFP F Yngve Simonsson 240.2 1407 1238 203 138
BUF F Daniel Merica Jr 238.7 1146 204 155
HAM F Stan Q. Next 237.3 839 713 205 253
NEW D Golden Face 235.8 937 206 217
WPG D Jaeger Jones 235.8 999 207 203
D Chris Good 235.2 208 283
PHI D San-sam Emerson 235.2 890 209 222
WPG D Aumy Jr 234.2 1541 1309 210 121
CGY F Artemius Nystrom 234         1049 211 190
LAP F Joseph Weston 232.5 1329 1036 212 193
MAN D Archangelo Scaradog Jr232.4 953 213 209
CGY D Richard LaFleur 232.2 1312 214 118
LAP F Yannick Svoboda 231.3 1089 215 179
D Maxwell Carrigan 230.6 216 284
SEA D Landon Fischermann 229.9 1306 217 122
LAP D Mikkel Asmus Sondergard 229.9 1422 1208 218 145
NOLA F Ville Kurri 229.5 1447 219 92
EDM F Stephan Gill 227.7 943 220 212
TEX D Zayne Rotzbua 225 753 221 244
TBB D Elwulf Jericson 224.4 1110 943 222 213
LAP D Aleks Blixtstrom         222.7 1315 223 115
NOLAF Slava Petrov 221.7 1396 1228 224 140
SEA D Wendolene Ramsbottom 221.1 1051 225 189
WPG F Spack Jarrow 219 1115 226 168
TEX F Andreas Kvalheim 218.8 1107 830 227 237
NOLAF Giannis Kroustis         217.7 1130 228 163
CGY F Esa Parmborg 216.3 1151 863 229 228
NOLAD Jean-Locke Zidane 216.2 1393 230 102
TEX F Frederico Von Schnicktenburg215.4 887 231 224
BAL F Karl Krashwagen 214.8 1430 1115 232 169
EDM F Brian Davenport         214.5 1310 233 120
SFP F Leon Athanasios         212.6 1080 234 183
TOR F Ruslan Zaporozhets 212.1 1176 940 235 215
WPG D Jay O'Neil         210.9 1126 236 164
MTL F Alexander Mackenzie 207 886 237 225
HAM D Ursin Zimmermann 204.1 844 658 238 260
PHI D Lenny Hawk 203.9 838 239 235
TEX F Tommy Tightpants 203.8 792 240 241
MIN D Narboza Manyhands 200.9 888 241 223
BAL D Parker Smeb 199.4 792 594 242 264
TEX F Bobby Sharp 199.1 1001 750 243 247
TOR D Luffy Richard 198.8 1012 860 244 229
WPG F Mikko Rashford 198 1169 245 149
MAN F Jeff Larsson 197.3 952 246 210
BUF D Aron Hernadivic 196.5 1091 850 247 232
MTL D Sabarro Torretta 195.6 856 248 230
SEA F Max Manning 194.1 1268 249 130
NOLAF Atticus Hale 193.6 1314 250 116
HAM F Lassi Suhonen 189.3 770 654 251 261
HAM F Danny C         188.6 687 252 254
MAN F Anton Harrier 188.2 961 253 208
BAL D Slip McScruff 188.1 879 659 254 258
TEX D Dane von Gucci 187.8 743 255 249
SFP D Teylora Petrov 186.9 1534 1349 256 109
NOLAF Tomas Zadina 186.2 1139 257 159
SFP F Petr Svoboda 185.3 1216 258 143
TOR F Connor O'Bryne 184.6 1009 259 200
WPG D Christian Kinsinger 182.5 1088 260 180
NEW D Leonids Balzams 179.8 1021 867 261 226
CHI F Daniel Smeb 177.9 885 663 262 257
MIN F Janis Lux 177.8 982 263 206
CGY D Brennan Kennedy Jr. 176.3 788 591 264 265
NEW F Guy LeGrande 175.9 737 626 265 262
TOR D Basil Sivart 175.9 939 266 216
MIN F Patya Perevalov 175.7 1312 267 119
MTL F Scott Thorn 175.5 730 268 250
NEW F Juni Panda         175.3 836 0 269 275
TEX F Leon Schweingruber 167.5 414 270 272
NEW F Simon Takshak 166.6 617 524 271 268
MIN F Eric Tokke         164.6 752 272 246
EDM D Vincent Fox 164 667 273 256
CGY F Zelma Zuntnere 155.2 850 722 274 251
MTL D Leons Briedis 148.1 356 275 273
MIN F Rinky McDangle 146.3 1114 276 170
MTL F Tim Riggins 142.9 560 277 266
MIN F Yan Dolff         141.9 670 278 255
NEW F Mika Kandinsky 136.3 674 505 279 269
MIN F Sam Siege         127.9 438 280 270
MIN D Aleksandrs Balcers 124.7 600 281 263
EDM D Ryan Gardner 97.6 544 282 267
TEX D Bjorn Thornsen 32.1 847 770 283 243
TEX F Wing Wang 2.5 435 284 271

[Image: seamus.png]

Credit to Vulfzilla for the awesome render pic
[Image: gXlAFBa.png]|| [Image: 8CbZQAJ.png]
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#2

Wow I'm pretty bad
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