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roastpuff · 08-13-2020, 01:08 PM

[SHN] 1v1 Series - Rookie Rivalry Round 2: Frans Eller vs. A Jobin

[Image: yQErBg3.png]

graphics credit to @reid - thanks Reid!

Hello, and welcome back to our Simulation Hockey News Network Series - 1v1! In this series of articles we will take an in-depth look at two players who are closely matched to see the fine details and differences between the two of them, and talk about what similarities or differences they might have between them! For the second round, we will take a look at two goaltenders who stepped into starting jobs, and how they are doing so far halfway through this season!

Both the goalies in this article were somewhat surprise additions to their teams’ stable of netminders - A Jobin was unexpectedly called up to the Hamilton Steelhawks after Geezus Kryyst was traded to the San Francisco Pride, and Frans Eller was called up to the New England Wolfpack after a shake-up in net with Benjamin Blue heading back to Tampa Bay after a series of trades. Jobin will get the luxury of starting in net behind an absolutely stacked Hamilton defensive core featuring 6 1K+ TPE defensemen, with Guy Zheng, Tig Murphy and Gabriel Johnson all above the 1600 TPE mark; on the other side, Frans Eller will also have 6 defensemen around that 1K TPE mark, though their highest TPE defenseman, Dominic Montgomery, came in via an unexpected trade, and does not match up to the juggernaut that is Guy Zheng. While the defense of the Wolfpack isn’t too far behind that of the Steelhawks, the forward corps of the Wolfpack has a somewhat bigger gap compared to that of Hamilton's.

In terms of TPE, Eller holds a roughly 100 TPE lead on Jobin, who hasn’t quite been the max earner that Frans Eller has been. Eller currently sits 8th in the Season 53 class, just behind Jimmy Wagner, and is the highest earning goalie in that class by a country mile. However, Jobin did get selected to be the All-Star representative for the Detroit Falcons twice, beating out Eller in that span of time.

Let’s go take a look at how each goaltender is built, and compare that with each other!

Build and Skills

The two goalies share some similarities, but the disparity in TPE means that Frans Eller gets to have advantages in some areas of the build due to the TPE requirements to level those things up. For example, Eller is much better at positioning himself to the shooter, and is slightly better at blocker saves, glove saves, rebound control, recovery for out of position saves and has faster reflexes. Jobin, on the other hand, seems to have concentrated on a few particular skills in his build - his mental toughness is significantly better than Eller’s, his passing and skating are quite a bit higher, and his stickchecking is more effective. Physically, both goalies are statistically the same, though Eller is two inches taller, and both are effective using the style that they have chosen to embrace.

Ice Time and Deployment

When we look at their usage patterns, we can see that both Frans Eller and A Jobin have started 28 games, and share similar minutes played - Eller with 1669 minutes, and Jobin with 1681 minutes. They also share identical W-L-OTL records at 14-12-2, but where they start to differ is in the shots faced and the end result. Due to the differences alluded to above in the team construction, New England is the more permissive team, allowing for 961 shots to come through to Eller (for an average of 34.3 shots a game) compared to Hamilton who suppressed 200 more shots, meaning Jobin has had to face only 746 shots (for an average of 26.6 shots a game), some of the fewest shots for the starters in the SHL (Elizabeth Doyle of the Buffalo Stampede enjoys the fewest shots per game, with 24.1 shots average per game).

Over the amount of shots faced, Eller has the higher save percentage, with a 0.923 save percentage result, compared to Jobin’s 0.912 sv%. However, due to the volume of shots faced - approximately 28% more - Eller has the highest Goals Against Average of 2.66 against Jobin’s 2.35 GAA, which is a bit less than what a 28% straight difference would be (closer to the 3.0 GAA mark).

When we take a look at the advanced metrics that are available for goalies (not much - we only have Goals Saved Above Average, aka GSAA - look out for an Advanced Stats Guide episode in the future for that one), we can see that Eller is considerably higher-scoring in this regard than Jobin, as he is more crucial to New England picking up wins compared to Hamilton, who have a stronger forwards and defense corps to help them gut out a win and shelter Jobin to a certain degree. The difference is quite stark, with Eller sitting at roughly 9.05 GSAA while Jobin is at a -0.65 GSAA, meaning that Jobin is letting in a little more (less than one) goals than he should while Eller is performing above what a “league average” goaltender would do by a large margin. The highest GSAA in the league is Markus Tegernako with an absolutely ridiculous 22.87 GSAA.

Hamilton is currently holding on to the 4th seed in the East, and New England is in 5th place but with 9 less points, making it very unlikely that the Wolfpack will qualify for the post season barring a major collapse by one of the teams in front of them. What we are not sure about - as we lack extensive research for this article - is how Jobin would fare against one of the top teams of the East in the playoffs considering that the season series has gone overwhelmingly in Buffalo’s favor, though Hamilton has tightened up the game results as the season goes on, and won 3-2 in the last meeting. This is also not to mention that the Steelhawks have not yet played the New Orleans Specters, the presumptive favourite in the West, as their two games against each other will come towards the end of the regular season.

Conclusion

These two goaltenders were thrust into unexpected situations as they were called up earlier than expected, but they have adapted to their surroundings and done well. Eller has so far shown to be the better goalie due to the circumstances that he's thrown into, but Jobin has future promise as well. They look to be the mainstays of their respective clubs’ goals, and are sure to compete with each other in the future for All-Star Game appearances considering that they are both Eastern Conference teams.

Code:
1112 words + data gathering and chart work, ready for grading

Rangerjase · 08-13-2020, 01:24 PM

***golden_apricot*** · 08-13-2020, 01:33 PM

Jobin

***hotdog*** · 08-13-2020, 03:08 PM

Eller

Obsidian311 · 08-13-2020, 03:24 PM

Eller = GOAT

charlieconway · 08-13-2020, 04:04 PM

Chamberlain Eller

SlashACM · 08-13-2020, 04:15 PM

What all star game

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