SMJHL Roster Dive & Draft Forecast: Newfoundland (2x Draft Media)
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WithTheMoose
Player Progression Director Posting Freak
Split 50/50 with @SchwarzNarr and @WithTheMoose
Newfoundland Berserkers Obligatory - We know nothing about Hockey and Roster Building in the SMJHL. We wanted to do some team reviews - looking at the roster and attempting to predict their draft needs. To start with looking at the potential draft needs of the Newfoundland Berserkers, we are going to begin by looking at their current roster. If it looked as though a player is IA based on their forum activity, We’ve tried to indicate that, along with their TPE. We have also tried to estimate the likelihood of call ups based on a mixture of activity, creation season, and TPE earned. Current Roster features: 2 Goalies (0 IA) 3 Centers (1 IA) 10 Wingers (1 IA) 6 Defenders (1 IA) Goalies: Player Name: Evgeni Petrov Position: Goalie Season Created: 59 TPE: 452 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None Important Stats: 12 wins, 6 losses 403 saves 47 goals against 2.28 goals against average 3 shutouts 0.896 save percentage 61 grade Discuss: Evgeni Petrov starts the goalie room off right for Newfoundland. He is a pretty steady earner who is young and is going to fill a role on this team for a while. He should hit the juniors cap this season and it will be the perfect time for this team for him to come into form. Their current starter will be aging out after just one more season and it’ll be Petrov’s time to shine. So far he has been fairly decent for a younger player and as he gets more chances in the net, he should overcome his predecessor with relative ease. Player Name: Hugo Gronroos Position: Goalie Season Created: 57 TPE: 575 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Low? Important Stats: 29 wins, 12 losses 982 saves 101 goals against 2.2 goals against average 5 shutouts 0.907 save percentage 64 grade Discuss: Hugo Gronroos is active and earning but just barely. Goalie is highly competitive in this league and it can be hard to find a spot because of how incredibly overpopulated this position is across the board. Unfortunately for Gronroos, I do not think he’s earned nearly enough to be even close to a potential call up. This is his last season before he ages out and he has a steady earning young gun nipping at his heels to take his job. S60 will be his last season with the team and he may see an overall drop in numbers due to splitting more and more time with Petrov as the season progresses. Goalie Outlook: The goalie room for Newfoundland seems fairly solid. They only have two guys on roster, but one is a wily veteran who has been a mainstay with the team for a long a while and the other is an eager young player who is ready to take over. Should this team need some depth with Gronroos on his way out, they might take a look at the goalie position, but for the most part I think they are solid for at least this season and we will likely see this as a spot that the Berserkers pass on in the draft. Offense: Player Name: Maxwell King Position: Left Wing Season Created: 60 TPE: 254 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None Season Stats: 5 goals 8 assists 13 points 9 plus/minus 46 shots on goal 10.9% shooting percentage 15 giveaways 5 takeaways 18 blocks 11 hits 54 overall grade 57 offensive grade 50 defensive grade Discuss: Newfoundland gets off to a hot start in their winger room with Maxwell King stepping into the team. He is a lower earning S60 player who is likely to be with the Berserkers for a long while due to his casual pace and I’m not sure they would have it any other way. His 10.9% shooting percentage is about average and he’ll only improve with that in time. He’ll be one of the better shooters on this team for a long while and I think the Berserkers will be happy to have him for as long as he sticks around. Player Name: Evil Allbran Position: Right Wing Season Created: 60 TPE: 319 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None Season Stats: 12 goals 7 assists 19 points 15 plus/minus 91 shots on goal 13.2% shooting percentage 32 giveaways 10 takeaways 15 blocks 19 hits 53 overall grade 53 offensive grade 51 defensive grade Discuss: For our next young winger on this squad, we have Evil Allbran. He is a fair bit higher earning than King and so may be on the team for a shorter time, but his departure is still far off. As a S60 player, the Berserkers do not have to worry about that in the least and they can look forward to building up their roster are him and King. Both of these guys are shooting quite well for being so young and I think you’re looking at the future of Newfoundland when you analyze this player. It certainly makes it easier on the team going into the draft. Player Name: Samuel Savage Position: Center Season Created: 59 TPE: 292 Activity: Inactive Call Up Risk: None Season Stats: 1 goals 3 assists 4 points 4 plus/minus 15 shots on goal 6.7% shooting percentage 4 giveaways 2 takeaways 4 blocks 15 hits 54 overall grade 55 offensive grade 51 defensive grade Discuss: Samuel Savage brings up one of the few black marks on this team. They simply do not have numbers at the center position. When you’re already thin at a spot, the last thing you want to see is one of your few players in that spot go inactive. Unfortunately that hit the Berserkers hard with Savage. As a 59 player, he already has S60 players with better earning than he does which implies he wasn’t a great earner even before his journey to inactivity. Still, sometimes you need a warm body and right now he is filling that particular role fine. His numbers aren’t impressive though and Nerfoundland could potentially use an upgrade here. Player Name: Robert Black Position: Center Season Created: 59 TPE: 404 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None to low Season Stats: 14 goals 22 assists 36 points -2 plus/minus 158 shots on goal 8.9% shooting percentage 17 giveaways 22 takeaways 25 blocks 7 hits 65 overall grade 68 offensive grade 58 defensive grade Discuss: Up next we have the one true bright spot at center for Newfoundland. As a fairly decent earning S59 player, Robert Black gives them a bit of stability for a few seasons. He should hit the juniors cap very early on in the next season and give this team some optimism around a position that is otherwise near barren. Offensively he is one of the best players on the roster with a 68 grade and 38 points scored and could use a little help with his defense, but overall he should be the leading center piece for this team over the next several seasons. Player Name: Slavakov Vladimirashenko Position: Right Wing Season Created: 59 TPE: 480 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None to low Season Stats: 8 goals 19 assists 27 points 1 plus/minus 109 shots on goal 7.3% shooting percentage 26 giveaways 20 takeaways 38 blocks 100 hits 58 overall grade 60 offensive grade 54 defensive grade Discuss: With Slavakov Vladimirashenko we have a near max earning young winger who should see a larger role heading into next season now that he is about to hit the cap. Last season he seemed to miss the goal a fair bit and struggled to find passing lanes, but with him finishing up his build there should be a shift in him for the Berserkers and they should see an improvement. He’ll likely be here for another two seasons at least and hopefully Newfoundland can take advantage of his dynamic playmaking ability while he is here and reach the cup with what looks like a fairly stacked roster. Player Name: Robert E. O. Speedwagon Position: Left Wing Season Created: 59 TPE: 476 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None to low Season Stats: 17 goals 12 assists 29 points 14 plus/minus 140 shots on goal 12.1% shooting percentage 27 giveaways 23 takeaways 75 blocks 35 hits 59 overall grade 61 offensive grade 55 defensive grade Discuss: To complement their other S59 winger, they have Robert E. O. Speedwagon. Speedwagon is a very high earning young player who is developing into a star for the Berserkers. He seems to be a little bit above average in almost every category and particularly his shooting, blocks, and overall lack of giveaways stand out for a young player like this. He managed to put up a decent 29 points this past season and I think that will only improve as both he and the team around him get better with another season under his belt. I feel the Berserkers can really lean on these two young forwards in the near future. Player Name: Leon Athanasios Position: Right Wing Season Created: 58 TPE: 571 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Low to moderate Season Stats: 25 goals 32 assists 57 points 39 plus/minus 201 shots on goal 12.4% shooting percentage 25 giveaways 16 takeaways 57 blocks 77 hits 62 overall grade 65 offensive grade 58 defensive grade Discuss: Luckily for the Berserkers, winger Leon Athanasios has not been earning overwhelmingly well and I think that is enough to keep one of the team’s best scorers around for at least one more season and potentially two. Its great news for Newfoundland because the kind of production that Anthanasios has brought as a capped out winger is invaluable and incredibly hard to replace. He can shoot, he can find passing lanes, and he doesn’t turn things over very often. I think they have a couple more seasons of Leon and I fully expect them to continue to be successful for as long as he’s on the roster. Player Name: Nike Kickz Jr. Position: Right Wing Season Created: 58 TPE: 694 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Moderate Season Stats: 19 goals 32 assists 51 points 48 plus/minus 155 shots on goal 12.3% shooting percentage 22 giveaways 44 takeaways 78 blocks 72 hits 69 overall grade 69 offensive grade 65 defensive grade Discuss: When you discuss Nike Kickz Jr., you’re discussing possibly the most promising player on this roster. As a max earning S58 player, he is on that edge where he could actually be facing a call up but I think that may still be a season off. I can not see it being longer than that as Kickz will be edging over 900 TPE at that point and his SHL team will be ready to bring him in. For the Berserkers that means they only have one more season with arguably the best player on this entire roster. Kickz does a little bit of everything for them and no player will be able to take over his production in one season. The Berserkers may look to get his replacement now in preparation for this potentially crippling exit. Player Name: Jesse Trudeau Position: Left Wing Season Created: 58 TPE: 518 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Low to moderate Season Stats: 18 goals 46 assists 64 points 42 plus/minus 193 shots on goal 9.3% shooting percentage 35 giveaways 28 takeaways 38 blocks 12 hits 69 overall grade 74 offensive grade 61 defensive grade Discuss: Jesse Trudeau is another player in that weird S58 zone where some of his fellow classmates may be getting called up, but more than likely is still a season or two out. Trudeau’s earning has likely bought Newfoundlandthose extra seasons. They’ll take him for as long as they can get him though as his 74 offensive grade is fairly high and his 64 points would be pretty hard to replace to boot. I do not think the Berserkers need to worry about his departure yet and so can look elsewhere in this coming draft. Always fun when you can almost rely on a returning player. Player Name: Ric Charlesworth Position: Center Season Created: 58 TPE: 425 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Low Season Stats: 28 goals 23 assists 51 points 17 plus/minus 194 shots on goal 14.4% shooting percentage 26 giveaways 23 takeaways 28 blocks 105 hits 63 overall grade 66 offensive grade 57 defensive grade Discuss: Ric Charlesworth is part of the fairly thin center group on this team, is getting older, and doesn't seem to be in any hurry to hit the juniors cap. That is overall good news for the Berserkers because their center room is so thin that any warm body is a good body. Charlesworth should fill the role of a warm body for this team perfectly. With his lack of earning, I can not see Charlsworth going anywhere in the next couple of seasons and that should buy Newfoundland some time as they try to rebuild their center corps and look towards this coming draft. Player Name: Dwayne Gretzky Position: Left Wing Season Created: 57 TPE: 863 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Dangerous Season Stats: 16 goals 32 assists 48 points 12 plus/minus 160 shots on goal 10.0% shooting percentage 29 giveaways 28 takeaways 87 blocks 50 hits 63 overall grade 68 offensive grade 56 defensive grade Discuss: Dwayne Gretzky is a decent earning S57 winger who could be going up as soon as this season. Whatever the case he ages out after S60 and won’t be on the roster anymore, so this may be a hole that the Berserkers look to fill before it becomes a problem. Fortunately overall, Gretzky seemed to struggle a bit this past season despite being capped and being on the edge of call up. His production was decent, but nothing special or outstanding and if they need to replace it they shouldn’t struggle too heartily with doing so. Either way I imagine they’ll be crossing their fingers to keep him on for another season. Player Name: Bas O’Bigbers Position: Left Wing Season Created: 57 TPE: 879 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Dangerous Season Stats: 15 goals 34 assists 49 points 17 plus/minus 163 shots on goal 9.2% shooting percentage 36 giveaways 25 takeaways 36 blocks 52 hits 66 overall grade 70 offensive grade 59 defensive grade Discuss: Bas O’Bigbers is also registered as a dangerous call up potential with his fairly decent earning and his status as a S57 player. He too will be entering his final season with the team should he not get called up and he would create two less maxed out players on this team overall should he depart. I also believe he would be a bit more difficult to replace production wise as his 70 offensive grade is above average and shows that when he is on the ice, he is efficient and deadly. His 17 plus/minus only reinforces that as fact. Again there is a chance that the Berserkers can hold off on replacing him for another season, but they may want to pull the trigger now. Player Name: Jonas Caspari Position: Left Wing Season Created: 56 TPE: 429 Activity: Inactive Call Up Risk: None Season Stats: 4 goals 15 assists 19 points 13 plus/minus 55 shots on goal 7.3% shooting percentage 14 giveaways 24 takeaways 61 blocks 64 hits 58 overall grade 54 offensive grade 59 defensive grade Discuss: Unfortunately for New Zealand, Jonas Caspari has aged out and he will not be able to aid their team any longer going forward. He isn’t a huge loss as he was inactive and not quite maxed out as it was and it seemed that the Berserkers were already preparing for his departure as he had limited minutes in the previous season overall. He should be replaced pretty easily with any player the Berserkers decide to slot in for him. This offense is almost fully active and fairly loaded on wingers, so one less wouldn’t hurt too much regardless. Offensive Outlook: This team is confusing because they have a very, very thin center room. In fact they do not even have enough active centers to fill a full three lines. Fortunately they seem overloaded with wingers and I imagine they have a few of those guys slot in at center. Against to the unfortunate part though is that they have one winger aging out and two who may be called up this season and at the latest probably next season. The wingers on this team are about to exit in mass and they won’t be able to spread them thin by having them at center as well. I think this team needs to be looking towards the center position in this draft and get some depth there before it is too late and they do not have bodies to fill that roster spot. Defense: Player Name: Pasta the Turtle Position: Right Defense Season Created: 59 TPE: 509 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None to low Season Stats: 4 goals 18 assists 22 points 18 plus/minus 78 shots on goal 5.1% shooting percentage 16 giveaways 34 takeaways 73 blocks 116 hits 54 overall grade 50 offensive grade 56 defensive grade Discuss: Pasta the Turtle gets this defense for the Berserkers started off on a high note as he is a very high earning S59 player that I believe will be the heart of this defense for a couple seasons in the near future. He has some things to still work on in his game, but he has hit the minors cap and is fairly young so Newfoundlandcan rely on him anchoring the defensive side a bit. I think if they could keep him from shooting as often as he does, he’d really excel overall and the fact he has one of the highest plus/minus on the team provides evidence of that potential. Player Name: Sabarro Torretta Position: Right Defense Season Created: 59 TPE: 396 Activity: Active Call Up Risk:None to low Season Stats: 7 goals 12 assists 19 points 26 plus/minus 97 shots on goal 7.2% shooting percentage 32 giveaways 24 takeaways 11 blocks 108 hits 53 overall grade 52 offensive grade 52 defensive grade Discuss: With another S59 defender, we find Sabarro Torretta as a fairly average earner in the class. The lower earning for Sabarro might see him on this roster for a couple extra seasons and the mere prospect of that has to have the GMs of Newfoundland absolutely ecstatic. His 26 plus/minus is outstanding and the guy can still get better as he hasn’t even hit the juniors cap yet due to his earning. In a ton of ways Torretta is the perfect juniors player as he earns just enough to be useful, but not enough to leave as soon as possible and he should be around to lead this defense long term. Player Name: Aleksandrs Balcers Position: Left Defense Season Created: 59 TPE: 503 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: None to low Season Stats: 12 goals 27 assists 39 points 26 plus/minus 166 shots on goal 7.2% shooting percentage 41 giveaways 23 takeaways 41 blocks 37 hits 69 overall grade 66 offensive grade 70 defensive grade Discuss: Rounding out the S59 defenders on this team is Aleksandrs Balcers. He is another one who isn’t quite earning max, but he is much closer to average than Toretta. I think this is going to lead to Balcers being on the team for the long haul with Toretta and that is something that offenses in the SHL should be nervous about. He just capped out in the uniors this past season and he already managed to rack up a fair impressive 70 defensive grade. I think he is really going to hit his stride this next season and he’ll make some big plays for this Newfoundland team. Player Name: Shion Okamoto Position: Left Defense Season Created: 58 TPE: 574 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Low to moderate Season Stats: 10 goals 32 assists 42 points 13 plus/minus 215 shots on goal 4.7% shooting percentage 70 giveaways 34 takeaways 33 blocks 91 hits 63 overall grade 59 offensive grade 67 defensive grade Discuss: Shion Okamoto is one of the older guys on this defense, but I do not think Newfoundland has to worry about him being called up at all. He hasn’t earned overly well during his time in the league and I think that plays to the benefit of the Berserkers. It allows them to keep their defensive corps together for a little bit longer and allows them to take looking for a defensive replacement slow. I will say that as a capped player for this team, Newfoundland could hope that Okamoto steps up this next season a bit more because while his game is solid, having 70 giveaways for a defenseman seems way too high. He’s the one who is supposed to be getting the takeaways, not the other way around. Player Name: Billy Brooks Position: Right Defense Season Created: 58 TPE: 691 Activity: Active Call Up Risk: Moderate Season Stats: 7 goals 18 assists 25 points 32 plus/minus 98 shots on goal 7.1% shooting percentage 20 giveaways 32 takeaways 74 blocks 194 hits 57 overall grade 53 offensive grade 59 defensive grade Discuss: Billy Brooks is the other S58 player on this roster, but as what appears to be a max earner, I do not think he’s on this roster for long. do not get me wrong, I do not think he’s in imminent threat to be called up this season, but going into next season I do not know that I’d still expect to have him on the roster if I’m Newfoundland. Though he managed to rack up a pretty massive 194 hits this past season, his overall grades weren’t great and he had a pretty pedestrian season all in all. For a player this active though, I know he has to be hoping that he can improve on that and come out swinging for potentially his last season as a Berserker. Player Name: Bud Weiser Position: Left Defense Season Created: 56 TPE: 379 Activity: Inactive Call Up Risk: None Season Stats: None, see no indication of getting a start. Discuss: Bud Weiser is in a bad spot all around. I’m not sure what happened here for the roster, but with six defensemen you would think they would have three full lines of these guys. Two for each line, two three times is six. Somehow though, Bud didn’t get any stats and as such likely had no minutes. It is very likely they were playing one of their many forwards in Bud’s place, which isn’t optimal. Either way though, Bud has now aged out and he is heading off to the rainbow bridge. He’s played his last minutes on the ice in this league and given his lack of production, I doubt Newfoundland will even notice. Defensive Outlook: This team actually has a very solid defensive corps that I think will stay consistent for at least two seasons. They have four guys who are fairly young or who aren’t earning great and should be around for the foreseeable future. The problem comes in when you look at one of their defenders aging out and their most promising defender potentially getting called up next season. Ideally I think most teams roster five or six defensemen and Newfoundland is about to fall short of that. They could potentially look to some depth in the draft, but I do not think they are in a hurry to do that. Overall Outlook: I’m not sure I can say the word center enough times to get the point across. This team needs a center and it needs one just as soon as they can get it. They are painfully thin at the position and only have two actives on the roster at all. Of all the positions, this is the one I think they use their first round selection on. I would say they could make up for the lack of depth with their forwards, but they are losing one forward to an age out and have two more playing in their final season with the team. They may look like a stacked roster now, but things are going to get fairly tight very quickly going into S61. I know that one might be tempted to trade out of this season because they do not really have the spots right this second, but they are going to have room much more rapidly than I think they are prepared for and could be facing a rebuild soon. The only place I see them having long term success is with their core four defenders who should be around for at least two more seasons each, but even then they might need a couple extra defenders to fill out the lines. Using their picks intelligently here could be the difference in staying competitive or taking a huge step back next season. Prospective Picks: The only position that Newfoundland really needs is a center. They have one of the later first round picks, and don’t seem to have a history of focusing on just recreates or new users, and therefore some of the players that I am expecting to be there for their pick include Atticus Hale, Ahlo Kysoka, Clifford Wilson. These are all great users who have some steady earning that they could use on the team. First round pick: Ahlo Kysoka Second Round Pick: They might attempt to trade out [img=0x0]https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/819596167843151906/843586092388057098/De_pengu_logo_2.png[/img]
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