S66 Fantasy Analyzer
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Z0REM
Registered Posting Freak
06-29-2022, 04:41 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-01-2022, 10:08 AM by Z0REM. Edited 2 times in total.)
Ever sat there and wondered if you should have drafted differently because you didn't know what you were doing? See below for the league leaders and their new TPE post regression and what rank they would be based off TPE. More to come via actual analysis. Missing goalies for now.
Alright so lets talk about S66. It is going to be a random madhouse of teams not knowing what is going on, so I have to think that players that previously did well are going to be mostly alright, but the truth of the matter is that it is going to be all about TPE. At first strategies will be a mess as we all start getting acclimated to the no testing, just roll the dice bandwagon. That being said, there is an ultimate truth about fantasy that every new person should know. The best defensemen on the worst teams tend to do very well in fantasy because they will hit more and block more shots. What ever FHM is coded to do, it tends to make those players more risky as they face higher volumes of shots and plays. So they will rack up the hits and shot blocks for those delicious points. The second truth is that regression hurts only a little bit as most people recoup stats by midway through the season or at the end. So it might affect overall performance, but dont get suckered into picking the best player last year without checking to see how far they have regressed and what stats they regressed. It could be that a top dman regressed everything but defensive stats and their points drop off. If you make that mistake then you essentially waste a pick. Lets do a team analysis after regression, if we look at new values of TPE before next updates we get a shakeout of this order by average TPE per team: ATL 1539 LAP 1499 NOLA1470 SEA 1453 SFP 1395 BAL 1375 TBB 1348 BUF 1344 WPG 1305 TOR 1303 MAN 1266 CHI 1224 PHI 1155 CGY 1125 EDM 1048 MIN 970 MTL 967 NEW 900 TEX 866 HAM 857 As we can see, a lot of last season has not changed. Around the board, everyone is starting pretty low with teams 2-7 within a close margin, 8-11 are close, and then the rest round out the bottoms. This does try to take in retirements as I found them, but a lot of people are making this their last season (Arsene Leclerc I'm looking at you). Good thing MIN has lots of good prospects as losing their top dman probably won't change much except total achievable by that player. Now if you take the ultimate truth to be true, then some of the best sleeper dmen will come out of these bottom 8 teams. While not the highest tpe dmen, you can expect them to get some points. The 4th truth here, is that sometimes the best forward on a bad team can have a crazy season. Let's look at Igor Victory from last season. He had great TPE count vs the other forward and got in decent shot blocks and hits as well. The result was that he pulled rank 9 on the board. But he was at 1866 TPE and is now falling all the way to 1586. It's still enough to pull best forward on his team, but I would not look to pick him up early just because he was top 9 last season. So 8 players to a group and 3 forwards, 2 dmen, and 1 goalie. So lets look at the top new players: Top 16 Dmen by TPE: Puddles O'Duck 1878 Jonas Kahnwald 1846 Arsene Leclerc 1841 Michael Withecheck 1816 Luc Blouin 1791 Kermit Murphy 1765 Ole Olson 1749 Sean Gatez 1735 Sven Svechnikov 1713 Bean Beanman 1686 Angus McFife XVIII 1656 Nikolaj Boyle 1648 Rikard Bjerg 1612 Shion Okamoto 1610 Ryosuke Sato 1600 Ethan Bouchard 1589 These are the top 16 dmen in the league by TPE. If I had more time I would say who should be traded out for the top dmen on the lower ranked teams. Top 24 Forwards Noel Blanchet 1887 Pablo Salvatici 1859 Vlastislav Malik 1841 Rock Strongo 1836 Luukas Lilja 1827 Tomas Lind 1823 Dogwood Maple 1821 Friedensreich Hundertwasser 1805 Lemo Pihl 1796 Anton Mihailov 1795 Kaapo Kampainen 1780 Vaseline Podcalzone 1778 Sarah Burke 1774 Kev Kevens 1771 Dwayne Gretzky 1755 Liam Slate 1753 Ryu Jones 1734 Long John Donair 1728 Theo Kondos 1704 Mats Marner 1704 William Salming 1689 Lord Raiden 1689 Xavier Doom 1683 Miguel Hefeweizen 1680 Same about the forwards as the dmen. That is about all the time and information I can share this season. I have a job you know and I love me some fake money, but it doesn't pay the bills. At this point I am pretty sure this got buried which was half the point because I don't want people taking my TPE, but for those who actually used this article maybe it helped. Or maybe we all get bottom of our groups because at the end of the day it is just fantasy and we cannot scream our players to do better. Good luck out there fantasy gamblers. All Players with stats and ranks Team Pos Name Points S65TPE S66 Rank New Rank TBB F Aleksander Kozlov 474.9 1858 1635 1 45 SEA F Vaseline Podcalzone 474.4 2021 1778 2 17 SFP D Rikard Bjerg 470 1897 1612 3 48 MIN D Arsene Leclerc 466.6 2024 1841 4 5 SEA F Liam Slate 462.2 2063 1753 5 22 BUF F Chimkin Wing 460.3 1873 1648 6 41 CHI F Theo Kondos 456.8 2005 1704 7 28 LAP F Long John Donair 446 1964 1728 8 26 PHI F Igor Victory 441.7 1866 1586 9 57 WPG F Bas O'Bigbers 439.8 1807 1644 10 44 MAN F Jonathan Granstrom 438 1723 1567 11 61 CHI F Mats Marner 436.8 1856 1704 12 29 NOLA D Ole Olson 436.7 1749 13 23 HAM D Guy O'Shea 434.3 1464 1200 14 146 PHI F Evil AllBran 433.5 1504 15 75 PHI D Nathan Thomas 427.5 1790 1521 16 66 CHI F Gudmundur Kristjansson427.2 1959 1665 17 37 ATL F Burlok Sulfurgold 426.8 1785 1517 18 68 BAL F Ryu Jones 426.5 2041 1734 19 25 ATL F Anton Mihailov 423.9 1973 1795 20 14 CGY D Eero Makela 423.1 1414 21 97 WPG F Ryuuji Kawashima 421.1 1657 22 39 MTL F Roderic Banes 417.6 1395 23 101 SFP F Walton Stromberg 416.5 1974 1677 24 35 SEA F Calvin Hobbes 412.7 1832 1612 25 49 BAL D Zebulon Leavitt 407.2 1676 1474 26 83 MAN F Tomas Lind 400.3 1823 27 9 ATL D Puddles O'Duck 398.3 1878 28 2 HAM F Devin Basher 397.8 1460 1241 29 137 TBB F Zoltan Topalo 396 1705 1449 30 90 TBB F Dwight Knight 395.2 1888 1604 31 53 LAP F Luukas Lilja 389.7 2008 1827 32 8 MTL D Zak Wilson 388.9 1330 33 113 LAP F Rock Strongo 386.7 2087 1836 34 7 ATL F Pablo Salvatici 385.9 2043 1859 35 3 NEW F Makrus The Tater Jager 382.4 1603 36 54 WPG D Ren-Ekelemchi Shimizu-Okoli380.7 1372 1248 37 134 ATL D Michael Withecheck 380.4 2064 1816 38 11 SFP F Kev Kevens 379.9 2013 1771 39 19 TOR F Jimmy Larkin-Conway 379.9 1157 40 152 EDM D Karlstrasse Scholz 379.3 955 716 41 252 BUF F KEKW Kekkonen 376.4 1450 42 89 BAL D Jasper Maximov 375.1 1772 1559 43 62 NOLAF Xavier Doom 373.9 1913 1683 44 33 TBB D Colin Lambert 373.7 1605 1364 45 107 WPG F Dwayne Gretzky 373.2 1929 1755 46 21 NEW D Sven Yxskaft 372.6 1767 1466 47 85 BAL F Ethan Duncan 372 1780 1513 48 69 LAP D Jonas Kahnwald 370.9 2098 1846 49 4 BAL F Lord Raiden 369.6 1988 1689 50 30 SEA F William Salming 367.3 1920 1689 51 31 MIN D Adrik Baranov 366.1 1358 1154 52 153 LAP D Sean Gatez 366 1907 1735 53 24 SFP F Jack Klompus 365.4 1798 1528 54 65 NOLAF Vlastislav Malik 363.2 2024 1841 55 6 CHI D Pasta the Turtle 362.8 1406 56 98 BUF F Steve Harrington 360.3 1693 1439 57 93 TOR F Lemo Pihl 359.9 2042 1796 58 13 BAL F Noel Blanchet 359.7 1887 59 1 EDM F Patrik Money 359.3 1301 1144 60 156 ATL F Salzberger Lillehammersson357.6 1625 61 47 SFP D Alex Petrenko 356.3 1522 1217 62 142 TOR D Magnus Liljestrom 356.2 1718 1460 63 86 HAM F Rikard Hammarberg 353.3 1207 1025 64 195 MAN D Adelie de Pengu 352.8 1242 1313 65 117 HAM F Aaron Wilson 352 844 658 66 259 TBB F Michael Fitted 351.3 1239 966 67 207 PHI D Bork Lazer 350 1273 1082 68 181 NOLAF Valtterri Kauppinen 348.4 1871 1646 69 43 EDM F Kaapo Kampainen 347.6 1957 1780 70 16 BAL D Adam Barron 347.6 1487 1159 71 151 WPG D Marcel Beck 345.4 1493 72 77 BUF D Billy Brooks 345.3 1580 73 58 TEX F Jarmo Kekalainen 344.5 1393 1267 74 131 BUF D Bean Beanman 341.8 1686 75 32 SFP F Sven Svenson 341.6 1751 1488 76 78 PHI F Kaarlo Kekkonen 341.4 1518 1214 77 144 MTL D Jonathon Hagan 338.5 1454 78 87 ATL D Jay Sink 337.3 1511 79 71 CGY D Sekai Wollker 337.2 1266 80 132 ATL D Angus McFife XVIII 337 1656 81 40 MAN D Sven Svechnikov 336.5 1713 82 27 WPG F Alexander Wachter 334.4 1329 1063 83 188 SFP F Slavakov Vladimirashenko333.5 1519 84 67 PHI D Samuel Michaud 332.6 1294 1009 85 199 TOR F Dogwood Maple 332.1 1821 86 10 CGY D A-Rye Izzy 329.5 1436 87 94 PHI F Conner Snooks 329.2 1122 88 165 NOLAF Friedensreich Hundertwasser329.2 1805 89 12 TEX D Adam Scianna 326.8 1338 1097 90 176 WPG F Gonzo Gobbledygook 326.8 1476 91 81 TEX D Bjorn Leppanen 326.7 1308 1020 92 197 LAP F Sarah Burke 325.8 2016 1774 93 18 NEW D Cup Noodle 324.1 944 94 211 TEX F Edward Williams 322.8 1269 1078 95 184 CHI F Ryuuji Minamino 322.1 1777 1510 96 72 TOR D Keith Lee 322 1381 1132 97 161 LAP F Grape Fruit 322 1831 1611 98 50 ATL F Shoyo Hinata 321 1122 99 166 MTL F Kriss Darzins 320 1454 1235 100 139 SEA F Vladmir Petrov 319 1710 1504 101 76 HAM D Evangelos Giannopoulos318.8 1183 1041 102 192 SEA F Jean-Uhtred Soderberg-Tremblay317.8 17501487 103 79 SEA F Rhys Pritchard 317.8 1687 1383 104 104 F Jack Kanoff 316.4 105 276 TOR D Ryosuke Sato 316.3 1883 1600 106 55 MAN F Robert E O Speedwagon 316 1485 107 80 BAL F Mew Two 314.2 1512 108 70 PHI F Patrick Shepherd 313.3 1109 942 109 214 CHI D Jukka Timonen 312.7 1535 1304 110 123 EDM F Kyle Sutton 312.3 1737 1476 111 82 BAL F Daniil Nikiforov 312.2 1733 1473 112 84 CHI F Martijn Westbroek 311.6 1072 804 113 240 SFP D Ruggs McOoooh 310.9 1658 1508 114 73 CHI F Nike Kickz Jr 308.5 1665 115 38 F Justin Keahi 307.2 116 277 BUF F Jaska Seppala 306.3 1710 1453 117 88 BUF D Emilia Bergman 305.7 1563 1328 118 114 ATL F Pavel Jeziak 305.6 1539 119 64 EDM F Julio Tokolosh 305 1134 850 120 231 D Lyle Odelein III 303.5 121 278 SEA D Teddy Murphy 302.6 1643 1396 122 99 HAM D Valdis Vejonis 301.9 744 123 248 TOR F Shane Duffy Jr 300.1 1179 124 148 HAM F Dick Clapper 299.9 1131 848 125 233 BAL F Cal Labovitch 299 1575 126 60 TOR F Videl Valor 298.5 1627 127 46 WPG F Stan Din'desque 297.4 1449 129 91 NEW D Bjorn Jakobsen 295.2 1244 130 136 TEX D Dirty Boots 294.7 1081 131 182 TEX F Kentaro Kikuchi 293.7 904 132 221 MTL F Igor Petrov 293.5 1265 1151 133 154 TBB D Axel Foley 292.5 1859 1580 134 59 TBB F James Ronlain 292 1087 847 135 234 CHI D Shion Okamoto 291.6 1610 136 51 LAP D Elias Kierkegaard 290.3 1568 1332 137 112 WPG F KnockedOut ByOvechkin 290.2 1117 982 138 205 SEA D Dee Centerman IV 287.6 1570 1381 139 105 CGY F Duncan Mackenzie 286.2 1280 140 128 LAP F Cormac Ponaire 285.9 1137 141 160 ATL F Jay Cue 285.9 1257 142 133 MAN F Lev Lebedev 285 1392 143 103 TEX F Eric Hudson 284.1 1212 1030 144 194 TBB F Panda Panico 283.9 1200 1020 145 198 ATL F Paul Binder 283.8 1559 146 63 CGY F Alexis Saint-Michel 283 1162 147 150 TBB D Luc Blouin 282.8 1791 148 15 PHI D Hans Graf 282.2 1196 149 147 TOR D Yuuto Kira Cloudera Jr281.8 1474 1297 150 125 SEA D Daryl Urquhart 277.6 1428 151 95 NEW D Kayden Pale 276.7 996 152 204 BAL D Valentin Kalashnikov 276.2 1265 1075 153 186 NOLA D Zakkira Diporov 276.1 1499 1274 154 129 BAL F Rob Wright 275.1 1767 1607 155 52 MIN D Collin Gibbles 275 1003 752 156 245 BUF D Nicholas Owens 274.7 1392 1113 157 171 PHI F Mitchell van der Heijden274.2 1385 1108 158 174 MIN D Conner Tanner 272.4 1102 159 175 MIN F Kynwyl Pearce 269.8 1295 1139 160 158 SEA F Daud Ramza 268.5 1357 161 108 CHI F Ryan Shepard 266.3 1183 922 162 219 CHI D Tanjiro Kamado 263.5 1387 1220 163 141 TOR F High Haschdi 263 1339 164 110 MAN F Greg Davies 261.7 1297 165 126 MTL D Vadim Askerov 261.4 931 166 218 TOR F Ty Murphy 261.1 1396 167 100 NOLAD Melvin Majestik-Moose259.7 1284 169 127 CHI D Akira Ren 259.3 1344 1048 170 191 TBB F Ambacas Cuddles 257.4 1207 1025 171 196 NOLA D Nikolaj Boyle 256.5 1648 172 42 SFP F Miguel Hefeweizen 256.4 1680 173 34 MTL F Zdenko Beranek 256 983 865 174 227 F Slap McShotty 255.3 175 280 TBB F Marco Barengrub 255.3 1675 176 36 F James Kimanje 254.7 177 281 ATL D Jack Nishimori 254.5 1336 178 111 MTL D Daedalus James 254.2 887 780 179 242 SEA D Kermit Murphy 253.6 1765 180 20 CGY F Grogu Mandosson 253.5 1299 181 124 LAP F Jimmy Wagner 252.7 1775 1508 182 74 TBB D Ethan Bouchard 251.8 1589 183 56 MAN F Towelie 251.8 822 184 238 MAN F Aksel Fiske 251.5 1088 1112 185 172 BUF F Greyson Cooper 250.9 1418 186 96 HAM D Zlatan Ibrahimovic Jr 250.7 1012 809 187 239 D NeverBrokeAgain YoungBoy250.5 188 282 TBB D Finn von Murphenstein249.3 1377 189 106 ATL F Viktor Krunk 249.1 1078 190 185 CGY F Taylor Johansson 247.8 1306 1110 191 173 SFP F Henrik Lekberg Osterman245.8 1451 1131 192 162 MIN F Daniel Laforest 245.4 981 833 193 236 PHI F Ric Charlesworth 245.1 999 194 202 MTL D Pojo Biscuit 245.1 1179 1002 195 201 BUF F Konstantin Selich 244.2 1247 196 135 BUF D Zayne Dangle 243.7 1120 197 167 SEA F Sconnie McHits 243.4 1090 198 177 CHI D Ben Jammin 243 1141 199 157 MAN D Conner Hutton 242.5 1261 1071 200 187 SFP D Borje Samuelsson 242.1 918 201 220 NEW F Paul Koivu 240.3 1090 202 178 SFP F Yngve Simonsson 240.2 1407 1238 203 138 BUF F Daniel Merica Jr 238.7 1146 204 155 HAM F Stan Q. Next 237.3 839 713 205 253 NEW D Golden Face 235.8 937 206 217 WPG D Jaeger Jones 235.8 999 207 203 D Chris Good 235.2 208 283 PHI D San-sam Emerson 235.2 890 209 222 WPG D Aumy Jr 234.2 1541 1309 210 121 CGY F Artemius Nystrom 234 1049 211 190 LAP F Joseph Weston 232.5 1329 1036 212 193 MAN D Archangelo Scaradog Jr232.4 953 213 209 CGY D Richard LaFleur 232.2 1312 214 118 LAP F Yannick Svoboda 231.3 1089 215 179 D Maxwell Carrigan 230.6 216 284 SEA D Landon Fischermann 229.9 1306 217 122 LAP D Mikkel Asmus Sondergard 229.9 1422 1208 218 145 NOLA F Ville Kurri 229.5 1447 219 92 EDM F Stephan Gill 227.7 943 220 212 TEX D Zayne Rotzbua 225 753 221 244 TBB D Elwulf Jericson 224.4 1110 943 222 213 LAP D Aleks Blixtstrom 222.7 1315 223 115 NOLAF Slava Petrov 221.7 1396 1228 224 140 SEA D Wendolene Ramsbottom 221.1 1051 225 189 WPG F Spack Jarrow 219 1115 226 168 TEX F Andreas Kvalheim 218.8 1107 830 227 237 NOLAF Giannis Kroustis 217.7 1130 228 163 CGY F Esa Parmborg 216.3 1151 863 229 228 NOLAD Jean-Locke Zidane 216.2 1393 230 102 TEX F Frederico Von Schnicktenburg215.4 887 231 224 BAL F Karl Krashwagen 214.8 1430 1115 232 169 EDM F Brian Davenport 214.5 1310 233 120 SFP F Leon Athanasios 212.6 1080 234 183 TOR F Ruslan Zaporozhets 212.1 1176 940 235 215 WPG D Jay O'Neil 210.9 1126 236 164 MTL F Alexander Mackenzie 207 886 237 225 HAM D Ursin Zimmermann 204.1 844 658 238 260 PHI D Lenny Hawk 203.9 838 239 235 TEX F Tommy Tightpants 203.8 792 240 241 MIN D Narboza Manyhands 200.9 888 241 223 BAL D Parker Smeb 199.4 792 594 242 264 TEX F Bobby Sharp 199.1 1001 750 243 247 TOR D Luffy Richard 198.8 1012 860 244 229 WPG F Mikko Rashford 198 1169 245 149 MAN F Jeff Larsson 197.3 952 246 210 BUF D Aron Hernadivic 196.5 1091 850 247 232 MTL D Sabarro Torretta 195.6 856 248 230 SEA F Max Manning 194.1 1268 249 130 NOLAF Atticus Hale 193.6 1314 250 116 HAM F Lassi Suhonen 189.3 770 654 251 261 HAM F Danny C 188.6 687 252 254 MAN F Anton Harrier 188.2 961 253 208 BAL D Slip McScruff 188.1 879 659 254 258 TEX D Dane von Gucci 187.8 743 255 249 SFP D Teylora Petrov 186.9 1534 1349 256 109 NOLAF Tomas Zadina 186.2 1139 257 159 SFP F Petr Svoboda 185.3 1216 258 143 TOR F Connor O'Bryne 184.6 1009 259 200 WPG D Christian Kinsinger 182.5 1088 260 180 NEW D Leonids Balzams 179.8 1021 867 261 226 CHI F Daniel Smeb 177.9 885 663 262 257 MIN F Janis Lux 177.8 982 263 206 CGY D Brennan Kennedy Jr. 176.3 788 591 264 265 NEW F Guy LeGrande 175.9 737 626 265 262 TOR D Basil Sivart 175.9 939 266 216 MIN F Patya Perevalov 175.7 1312 267 119 MTL F Scott Thorn 175.5 730 268 250 NEW F Juni Panda 175.3 836 0 269 275 TEX F Leon Schweingruber 167.5 414 270 272 NEW F Simon Takshak 166.6 617 524 271 268 MIN F Eric Tokke 164.6 752 272 246 EDM D Vincent Fox 164 667 273 256 CGY F Zelma Zuntnere 155.2 850 722 274 251 MTL D Leons Briedis 148.1 356 275 273 MIN F Rinky McDangle 146.3 1114 276 170 MTL F Tim Riggins 142.9 560 277 266 MIN F Yan Dolff 141.9 670 278 255 NEW F Mika Kandinsky 136.3 674 505 279 269 MIN F Sam Siege 127.9 438 280 270 MIN D Aleksandrs Balcers 124.7 600 281 263 EDM D Ryan Gardner 97.6 544 282 267 TEX D Bjorn Thornsen 32.1 847 770 283 243 TEX F Wing Wang 2.5 435 284 271 |
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