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NordicNailer · 09-07-2024, 07:39 AM

The plan with this little dive is to see if there is any correlation between placing in the top three after the regular season and standing as a winner at the end of playoffs. I have only looked at the seasons from 53 and later, so I could be missing some of the early stuff. But I do believe this is accurate enough.
As I started looking I discovered that it's really rare for a team that dont place itself in the top 3 after the regular season to win. From season 53 up until now it has only happened 3 times. s67, s69 and s77. The season of 67 is not so special because Maine that won in the playoffs had only 1 point up to 3rd place and was closer to 1st than 5th. So they could almost count as a top 3 that year.
Season 69 the Quebec is a little of the same, but Quebec that won had 6 points up to 3rd place.
So with that said, the winner of season 77, Vancouver was a bit more of a miracle. They had 9 points up to 3rd place in the regular season, but still managed to win the playoffs, and only lost 3 of the games on their way to victory.

Even though everybody wants to be an underdog that surprises everyone else the odds are forever against the underdog. So let us look at some stats for the non-underdogs.

Between season 53 and up until today the team who finished second or third in the regular season and later went on winning all of the playoff games is pretty common, but it's more common for the second and third placed team to end as the runner up.
To speak in numbers it's a 56% chance that the team that ends at third or second place during regular season ends up as the runner up.
Meanwhile there's a 36% chance that those teams end up as the winner. Pretty good odds if some would gamble.
But even better is the ods for the team that is the winner of the regular season.
If your team wins the regular season it is a 52% chance that the team also wins the playoffs. which means they're leaving only a 12% chance for the underdogs.

So what's the conclusion to take from this?
If your team wins the regular season, there is about a 50/50 chance that the team take home the whole damn thing and get the trophy.
If you end up in second or third place its 56% chance that your team will end upp as the runner up at the playoffs aswell. But the chance of the team ending up as winners is still pretty good with a 36% chance.
And if your team ends up as fourth or lower, your team needs to get your act together if you're gonna have even the slightest chance to drink from the trophy.
Between season 53 and until today the worst placed team in regular season that was able to win, was placed as 6. As both Quebec s69 and Vancouver s77 only played half decent during those seasons.

chetib · 09-07-2024, 03:28 PM

Denied @NordicNailer I have your word count coming up as 445 words. If you want to pad it out to the 500 minimum and tag me again I can reassess

NordicNailer · 09-08-2024, 03:12 AM

09-07-2024, 03:28 PMchetib Wrote: Denied @NordicNailer I have your word count coming up as 445 words. If you want to pad it out to the 500 minimum and tag me again I can reassess

The sites character count was about 600 so I belived i was done. But now the words should be over 500

chetib · 09-09-2024, 12:33 AM

Approved @NordicNailer @CptSquall

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